SMART BET COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 11

Overall Profit 3.9 units (updated 11/11)

We start the week early again with a game on Tuesday night. We hit last Tuesday with Bowling Green over Buffalo, so lets keep our strong Tuesday night plays rolling.

1) Ohio at Buffalo (-1.5) This Buffalo team plays hard every single time they take the field. Ohio was a great play early in the season, but are simply not playing the type of ball they once were. Ohio faces an angry Buffalo squad after their loss from a week ago to Bowling Green. Ohio has also been plagued by the injury bug and are probably looking at starting their 3rd string QB tonight. If Buffalo can establish the run this game will be over at halftime. Lay the points with Buffalo.

Ohio 27 Buffalo 24 L for 1.1 units

GAME OF THE YEAR #3: FRESNO STATE (+7) at Nevada for 2 units

This line simply blows me away. I have Fresno State as a 9 point favorite!! Strength of schedule alone makes Fresno State a strong play. Just look at who Fresno State has played and how they faired in those games: on the road in Wisconsin lose in the final seconds, lose at home in a competitive match with Boise State, play Cincinnati tough to the final quarter, and then have won 5 straight, including three road wins. Nevada also post three early loses, but against teams not nearly as strong as what Fresno faced: blowout loss on the road to Notre Dame, a terrible loss to Colorado State on the road (who by the way has lost 7 straight games, including a loss to UNLV, who Nevada beat by 35), and a loss at home to a weak Missouri squad. Both teams will get up and down the field and should score a ton of points. However, as Nevada has stepped up in class they have proven not to be the same squad they are against weaker opponents. Fresno State is a talented squad that can win this game outright. I see this game being close, but Fresno wins 54-42.

3)  Fresno State (+245) at Nevada MONEYLINE. OUTRIGHT DOG WINNER!

4) Bowling Green (-3) at Miami (OH) for 1 unit

Bowling Green 35 Miami (OH) 14 W for 1 unit

5) South Florida (+2.5) at Rutgers for 1 unit

Rutgers 31 South Florida 0 L for 1.1 units

6) WVU at Cincinnati (-9) for 1 unit

7) Florida State (+5) at Wake Forest for 1 unit

8) Clemson (-8) at NC State for 1 unit

9) Arizona (+3) at California for 1 unit