We won our big money game with the Texans. Didn’t do a whole lot at 4:00. Had some on the Panthers, who let me down, but I did state to proceed with caution. The Bucs are a much improved team as I suspected.
I’m not crazy about tonight’s game. I don’t want to bet against Peyton Manning, but I feel that he’s just not 100% and will need a few games before he’s back in normal form. He has a tough matchup against this Steelers defense. I think it will be a tight game and one where I’ll lean on the under 45.5. I’m not overly confident with the Steelers, who have some injury concerns. I have a parlay on the Steelers moneyline and the under which pays 3:1. The pick has a 6/10 confidence rating.
I’ll save a big bet for the Ravens (-6.5) over the Bengals tomorrow night. Pick warrants an 8/10. Not going to touch the Raiders/Chargers game.…
Nailed my big opening play on the NFL season. Damn, that one felt good. I went BIG on the Texans and they delivered!
4:00 games coming up. Texans was my big money game. Have some small plays on the Packers moneyline, Panthers (-2.5), and Seahawks (-3). Nothing big. Hope you guys jumped on the Texans.
I’m about to take off gentlemen. I’m headed to New York City for a bachelor party. Before departing, I wanted to provide everyone with the final word for this weekend.
Brandon Phillips’ SMART BET is Back!
It’s good to have my boy Brandon Phillips back. Brandon was THE PASS RUSH’S college football guy in 2009 and 2010 until taking a break in 2011. We’re glad to have him back on board. Our readers were calling for his bowl special last year after going 9-3 ATS in the 2010 bowl season.
Just to give you a little story of how Brandon and I crossed paths. We were both 3rd-year law students. I see this guy in class (good old Taxation of Business Entities) with a sheet of every football spread for the week and he’s going through it and circling home underdogs and what type of field the team is on. If the visiting team plays on a different type of field, he’ll do some extended due diligence on the matchup and will look to stick with the home dog and the points. We then struck up a conversation about football betting and I invited him to begin contributing to the site.
I’m sure Brandon will be posting some Saturday college football picks for you. His opening pick of 2012 was a success, going with Cincinnati (-5) over Pittsburgh on Thursday night. The Bearcats rolled 34-10. Hopefully, there will be plenty more where that came from.
Sunday’s Final Word
I wish I could have had the same success as Brandon with my opening pick, but the Giants suffered from the Super Bowl hangover. Just a note on my confidence ratings, I grade my picks on a scale of 10. I never …
INDIANAPOLIS @ CHICAGO BEARS – OVER/UNDER 43 – Touhh call here. I’m not touching it. What kind of numbers is Andrew Luck capable of against a Bears defense? Nobody knows until we see it on Sunday. Stay away. Slight lean on the over due to the Colts suspect defense that gave up 26.9 PPG last season. W
BUFFALO @ NEW YORK JETS – OVER/UNDER 40.5 – The bar is set pretty low for these teams. The Jets offense is struggling and the Jets defense will make it difficult for the Bills to score touchdowns. Slight lean on the under as both teams struggle to reach 20 points. L
JACKSONVILLE @ MINNESOTA – OVER/UNDER 38 – I like the over here as the bar has been set pretty low. Just a gut feeling that this could be an back-and-forth shootout. Weird games happen in Minnesota. Can we possibly see a 27-24 game here? I think so. W
MIAMI @ HOUSTON – OVER/UNDER 43 – I like this under here since Miami will struggle to score 10 points and Houston’s running game will slowly eat up clock against the 3rd ranked run defense from 2011. W
ST. LOUIS @ DETROIT – OVER/UNDER 46 – Stafford will be throwing darts on Sunday and Bradford will try to keep …
My original survivor pool pick was New Orleans Saints over Washington Redskins. The reason I picked the Saints was because there’s simply no other home game until the play Bucs in December which should be an easy win for them. I changed my picked to the Houston Texans over the Miami Dolphins. I still think the Saints will win this one, but the Redskins may put up a fight. With the Saints coaches suspended the Saints missing their best two defensive players in Jonathan Vilma and Will Smith, there was just too much risk with this pick. RGIII can also come in and have a Cam Newton-like debut.
Texans over the Dolphins is the much safer play this week. We all know the Dolphins offense will struggle to come up with points this season and the Texans were the 3rd best defense in the league last year. Look for the Dophins to be completely shut down while the Texans offense takes care of business to book the win. The Texans are the largest favorites this week as 12-point favorites.
Other potential options for you are the Chicago Bears over the Indianapolis Colts, Detroit Lions over the St. Louis Rams, or Philadelphia Eagles over the Cleveland Browns. They’re all winners in my book.
If Dwayne Bowe didn’t hold out this offseason, Bowe would be a good choice, but it may take Bowe a few games to get back up to speed. Blackmon also held out for a long period of time, but he got a lot of reps in the preseason and has looked very good in preseason action.
Blackmon got a crazy amount of targets from Blaine Gabbert in the preseason. I expect Blackmon to have a solid rookie year with around 65 receptions, 900 yards, and 5 TDs to be a little conservative. An 80 reception, 1,000 yard, 6 TD season is certainly a possibility based on this guy’s potential.
I’m about to take off gentlemen. I’m headed to New York City for a bachelor party. Before departing, I wanted to provide everyone with the final word for this weekend.
We posted potential 
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