Posted by Vegas Martin in NFL Picks on December 19th, 2011 | Comment »
We are coming in to tonight’s Monday Night game 6-0 ATS in our last 6 Monday Night picks. I would ordinarily just pass over this game as too close to call, but I have to post a pick to keep the Monday Night streak alive! I’m going to recommend a teaser by taking the points and the under.
PITTSBURGH STEELERS @ SAN FRANSISCO 49ERS (-3)
Despite Big Ben getting the start tonight, the 49ers stay at 3-point favorites. I say take advantage of the points. This is a pretty even matchup on both sides of the ball. While the 49ers have averaged 28 PPG at home and 23.6 PPG throughout the season, the 49ers offense has struggled lately, scoring just 19 against the Cardinals and putting up 6 on the Ravens. Patrick Willis is also out this game.
This is a big game for the Steelers, who have an opportunity to move up a game on the Ravens in the AFC North race, which is the difference between a No. 1 or 2 seed vs. a No. 5 seed. In what will no doubt be a tight game, I will want the points on my side, especially since the Steelers could win outright.
With both defenses giving up a combined 18.6 PPG in their last 3 games — that’s 6.3 PPG allowed by Pittsburgh and 12.3 PPG allowed by the 49ers — the under 37.5 is compelling. What is even more compelling is adding the points to the over and taking the Steelers at +10.
I usually like to tease Monday Night games and see the perfect opportunity to take points while betting on the under with two of the best defenses in the league squaring off. Points will be …
Posted by Vegas Martin in NFL Survivor Pool Picks on December 19th, 2011 | Comment »
Question: What team should I take in Week 16 of my survivor pool?
I’m thinking of taking the Baltimore Ravens over the Cleveland Browns. Baltimore is undefeated at home and the Browns are pretty terrible. I also like the New England Patriots over the Miami Dolphins. I need to find a team that will has something to play for in week 16. The pool started the season with 91 people. I am one of only 3 remaining! Could really use your advice this week’s pikc.
Answer:
It’s tough to recommend other teams when I don’t know who you have already taken. If it’s between the Ravens and the Patriots, I would for sure go with the Ravens. The Ravens over the Browns should be a lock. I’m still alive in my survivor league and I’m taking the Steelers. Good luck.
Add your own answer in the comments!…
Tags: Baltimore Ravens, Cleveland Browns, Miami Dolphins, New England Patriots
Posted by Vegas Martin in NFL Picks on December 17th, 2011 | Comment »
We have now hit our last 6 Monday Night Picks! The season is winding up and teams are jocking for playoff positions. Fantasy football playoffs are in full gear. Let’s see what’s on this week’s card.
WASHINGTON REDSKINS @ NEW YORK GIANTS (-6.5)
Don’t let the Redskins shootout against the Patriots last week fool you. The Redskins offense isn’t that good. The Patriots defense is just that bad. With all of the injuries to the Redskins defense, Tom Brady took advantage and posted 34 points. I expect Eli Manning to pick apart the Redskins secondary this game while the Giants defense limits the Redskins offensively. Last December when the Giants played the Redskins at home, they won 31-7 as 7-point favorites. I’m expecting a similar outcome, but a bit tighter. This is essentially a playoff game as the Giants and Cowboys are both on top of the division at 7-6 and you can expect the Cowboys to defeat the Bucs on Saturday Night.
Prediction: Giants 27 – Redskins 13
Pick Against the Spread: Giants -6.5 (Confidence: 3/5)
CINCINNATI BENGALS (-6) @ ST. LOUIS RAMS
I’m always looking to bet against the Rams. I have bet against them several times this year with great successs, although the Rams did burn me once when they upset the Saints at home. With the Rams 2-11 ATS record, there hasn’t been a better team to bet against this year. I was riding the Bengals earlier this season, but not lately with their tough schedule in their last 5 games. They have been on a rough five-game stretch going 1-4 (0-4-1 ATS), but their schedule has been brutal (Houston, Baltimore, and Pittsburgh twice). When they faced the Browns on the road, the Bengals cost me …
Posted by Vegas Martin in NFL Week 15 Start 'Em Sit 'Em Advice on December 15th, 2011 | 1 Comment
Question: I need some help picking my WR and RB for week 15.
Who do I start this week? I can start two RB, two WR, and 1 flex.
RB: Ryan Grant, Michael Turner, Felix Jones, Cedric Benson, Kevin Smith
WR: Demaryius Thomas, Santana Moss, Mike Wallace, Laurent Robinson, James Jones, Mike Williams
Thanks for your start/sit advice.
Answer:
I would go with Michael Turner, Felix Jones, Santana Moss, Mike Wallace, and Laurent Robinson
Know better? Leave your own answer in the comments!…
Tags: Cedric Benson, Demaryius Thomas, Felix Jones, James Jones, Laurent Robinson, Michael Turner, Mike Wallace, Mike Williams, Ryan Grant, Santana Moss
Posted by Vegas Martin in NFL Week 15 Start 'Em Sit 'Em Advice on December 15th, 2011 | Comment »
Question: Pick 2 for Week 15.
I need 2 WR this week, so I would like to know which 2 WR you would start and why!
Steve Smith @ HOU
Mike Wallace @ SF
Laurent Robinson @ TB
Mike Thomas vs. NE
Which 2 wide receivers would you pick and why?
Answer
Steve Smith is your best receiver based on what he’s been going with Cam Newton and there’s no question that you stick with Mike Wallace although it’s against a tough 49ers defense. Miles Austin is back from his injury, so I would say no to Laurent Robinson.…
Tags: Cam Newton, Laurent Robinson, Mike Thomas, Mike Wallace, Miles Austin, Steve Smith
Posted by Vegas Martin in NFL Week 15 Start 'Em Sit 'Em Advice on December 14th, 2011 | Comment »
Question: I need help picking one WR for my fantasy football roster this week
Demaryius Thomas vs. NE
Donald Driver @ KC
Michael Crabtree vs. PIT
Answer:
I would start Demaryius Thomas. He’s been coming up huge in these last few weeks. I would definitely bench Donald Driver as he’s now the No. 4 WR on Green Bay’s depth chart after Jennings, Nelson, and Jones. I don’t like Crabtree’s matchup against the Steelers. He’s put together two very good weeks, but that should come to an end in a game that should feature both teams featuring the ground and pound.
Know better? Leave your own answer in the comments!…
Tags: Demaryius Thomas, Donald Driver, Michael Crabtree
Posted by Vegas Martin in NFL Picks on December 12th, 2011 | Comment »
Sunday’s picks went 1-1-1 ATS. We hit on the Saints, the Broncos pick pushed thanks to more 4th quarter heroics from Tim Tebow, and our Patriots pick failed to cover by 2 points since the Pats escaped Washington with a 7-point win in what was a shootout. I warned that the Patriots defense would be a liability. There’s no doubt the Pats would outscore the Redskins, but the Pats defense hurt what would have been an awesome Sunday.
Since we are 5-0 ATS in our last 5 Monday Night picks, I have to throw out a pick on tonight’s game although it’s a meaningless game between two awful teams. Who picked out this year’s Monday night games? The game selection has been absolutely horrific. Last week it was the Jaguars game. This week it is the Seahawks game. Come on guys.
ST. LOUIS RAMS @ SEATTLE SEAHAWKS (-9)
The 5-7 Seahawks host the 2-10 Rams on Monday Night. The Seahawks have been on a nice little run winning their last 3 of 4 games and covering the spread in their last 4 of 5 games. The Rams, on the other hand, have been a great target to bet against week in and week out. The Rams are 2-10 ATS matching their season record. With the Rams decimated by injuries and playing terrible against the spread this year, I am going to go with the Seahawks. However, Sam Bradford is expected to return tonight.
With the Rams 11.7 PPG, don’t expect their offense to do much. The Seahawks offense has averaged 18 PPG on the year, but they’ve turned it up lately increasing their PPG average to 24.0 PPG in their last 3 games. Seattle won this contest just three weeks …