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College Football Picks

Tomorrow’s College Picks By Schedule

Posted by in College Football Picks on November 28th, 2009 | Comment »

So far in college football, I like picking out a single game to take per time slot, and I’ve been rolling (10-0 in my last 10).  In college football alone, we were 1/1 on Thursday and 4/4 on Friday! Here’s what I like for Saturday:

Tomorrow, I like this schedule:

12:00 — UCONN -13.5 over Syracuse — (W)The streak continues to 11-0!

3:35 — Teaser: FSU +32, Over 49 over Florida — (L) — “Ya coulda had ’em Mav, you coulda had ’em.” FSU left a few points off the board that could have had the over hit with the +32. Feeling good about GT.

8:05 — Teaser: Georgia Tech -0.5, Over 50 over Georgia — (L) — Of course QB Nesbitt gets injured in the 1st quarter. Fortunately, comes back into the game, but not anywhere close to being 100%. While he’s out, his backup throws an INT that leads to 7 by Georgia. GT had a chance to win the game down by 6 with 3 minutes left, but a dropped ball on 4th down ends the game for them.

10:35 — Teaser: Navy -2.5 Under 61.5 over Hawaii — (L) — We had a hell of a run, but had to give some of it back. Should have been at least 2-2 today, but the GT game was a bad beat due to Nesbitt’s injury and FSU game was close, just needed a FG and it didn’t matter what team it was.

Brandon has more Week 13 college plays

Here’s a look at week 12 in the NFL

My favorite play Sunday — Teaser: Chargers -6.5, Vikings -3.5 — (W)

Only spread that I like straight up: Miami -3 over Buffalo.

There’s tons …

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Georgia vs. Georgia Tech Pick Against the Spread

Posted by in College Football Picks on November 27th, 2009 | Comment »

We had a solid amazing Thursday, we had a solid incredible Friday, and now we’re turning to see what’s on tap tomorrow.  I like UCONN -13.5 tomorrow, but another game that is jumping out to me is Georgia vs. Georgia Tech -7.5.

WEEKLY RECAP: Hit 3 teasers on Thursday (GB/UNDER, DAL/UNDER, GB/DAL), hit Brandon’s Thanksgiving Special (Texas A&M +21), hit Rutgers -3 at 11:00, hit Brandon’s Game of the Year #4 at 2:30 (Auburn +10), hit 7:00 teaser (PITT +7/UNDER), and now looking to add another W with Boise State -6.5, over 63 at 10:00. I’m 7-0 in my last 7 games since Thanksgiving.  Seven and O! The teasers have been working like a charm.

I just can’t get enough football during the long Thanksgiving weekend. Can you tell with the full write ups?

GEORGIA BULLDOGS @ GEORGIA TECH BULLDOGS -7.5

I’ve been eying up this game all week and Georgia Tech -7.5 is just screaming out at me. Why do I like Georgia Tech so much? Their QB Josh Nesbitt is probably the best running QB in the NCAA right now with 1,418 passing yards, 8 passing TDs, 847 rushing yards, and 14 TDs. GT is also 7-1 ATS in their last 8 game and I’ve been riding them throughout that streak.

GT (7-1) is facing a 5-4 Georgia team that averages 27.5 PPG and allows 26.6 PPG, compared to GT’s 36 PPG and 23.5 PPG allowed.  GT’s offense averages just about 100 more yards of offense per game.  Although Georgia just gives up an average of 327 yards per game overall, they’ve been awful on the road, surrendering 390 yards per game and 30 PPG. I like Georgia Tech in this one since Georgia will give up a …

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Boise State vs. Nevada Pick Against the Spread

Posted by in College Football Picks on November 27th, 2009 | 1 Comment

Not only was Thursday a hell of a day, but we’ve gotten off to a great start again today.  We started off at 11:00 with a Rutgers pick that set the table for the rest of the day.  Rutgers cruised over Louisville 34-13 and we only had to give up 3 points.  I hope you capitalized off that pick. STAMP!

Then Brandon’s Game of the Year #4 hit, boosting his “game of the year” record to 3-1.  I was stunned myself when I saw that as his game of the year, but he gave me a hell of an explanation, so I didn’t second guess his judgment and jumped on Auburn +10 parlayed with the under in that game, which pushed, but I still got to take down the Auburn +10.  After the 11:00 game, we hit the 2:30 game. STAMP!

At the 7:00 spot we have Pittsburgh at WVU.  I’m making a small play on a teaser of Pitt +7 and the Under 55.  I’m expecting a tight defensive game.  I don’t want to make it too big with Pitt on the road, but I think they come out on top in this one.  STAMP!

Following the 7:00 game, we have Boise State and Nevada kicking off at 10:00.  Let’s get to the pick.

NEVADA WOLFPACK @ BOISE STATE BRONCOS -13.5

The over/under for this one is set at 70, so like any Boise State game, expect to see a lot of scoring. Boise averaged 44 PPG, while Nevada averages 41 PPG. Boise State gives up 17.3 PPG, while Nevada gives up 25.6 PPG.

Nevada’s offense has been utterly ridiculous all season long. They’re averaging 534 yards per game, more than 70 yards per game than Boise’s average of …

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Pittsburgh vs. West Virginia Pick Against the Spread

Posted by in College Football Picks on November 27th, 2009 | Comment »

PITTSBURGH PANTHERS @ WEST VIRGINIA MOUNTAINEERS

Tonight we are treated to the Backyard Brawl at 7:00 on ESPN.  Pittsburgh seeks to get their 10th win of the season and secure a spot in a BCS Standings if they are able to get a win.  A lot of people like the Panthers in this one due to the low spread and I think that is the play to make in this one, but I’m always hesitant to bet on the road team in a big rivalry game.  That’s mostly because I attended this game in 2003 when WVU waxed Pitt 54-31.  2003 was a long time ago though!  Pittsburgh has won this battle the last two years.  Last year they won the game in Pittsburgh 19-15 and the year before that Pitt won 13-9 when it was played in West Virginia.  That is probably why so many people like the under 48.5 in this game.

Both teams bread and butter is their running game.  That is how they win football games.  However, on the other side of the ball, each of these team’s strength is their rushing defense.  Due to that factor, I think you’ll see a lot of stops on third down, which will lead to more punting and less scoring, which makes the under 48.5 looks like the play to make there.  Both of these teams can score though.  Pitt averages 33.8 PPG and WVU averages 27.6 PPG, which is why you’re seeing a high over/under for this game.  The defenses allow a combined 38.2 points though.  Pitts gives up an average of 17.6 PPG, while WVU gives up an average of 21.2.  Each of these teams’ last two games have gone under.  6/9 of Pitt’s games have …

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Rutgers vs. Louisville Pick

Posted by in College Football Picks on November 27th, 2009 | Comment »

RUTGERS SCARLETT KNIGHTS -3 @ LOUISVILLE CARDINALS

We start football today at 11:00 and the game that I’ve been eying up all week is Rutgers -3. The spread is so low, it made me question whether this is a trap game. The spread is low because their stud WR Tim Brown is questionable and their kicker is also out (could affect some field goals and field position, which is kind of a big deal).

Rutgers also lost last week to a weak Syracuse team 31-13. As Lucky Lester likes to point out, the theme of the year is that solid teams usually bounce back after a poor performance.  I have faith in Tom Savage and that Rutgers running attack against a 4-7 team that gives up an average of 25.5 PPG and scores just 18.5 PPG.

Rutgers blanked South Florida 31-0 prior to the Syracuse loss, they beat a solid UCONN team, they beat up on Maryland, and they hung in their with #10 Pittsburgh.  Louisville isn’t even close to good.  They haven’t beaten any quality teams and their sole division win comes by a 10-9 victory over Syracuse. The Louisville D has a hard time stopping anyone.  They gave up 34 to South Florida, 41 to Cincinnatti, 35 to Pittsburgh, and 38 to UCONN.  Their offense hasn’t really shown up either.

If WR Tim Brown is out, I expect this one to be fairly close throughout the game, but I’m on board with Rutgers.  I would bank on a rebound by Rutgers and I look to take advantage of a low spread.

Prediction: Rutgers 24 – Louisville 17

Free Pick: Rutgers -3 (Confidence: 2.5/5) (W)

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SMART BET College Football Week 13

Posted by in College Football Picks on November 24th, 2009 | Comment »

Overall Profit 1.3 units

Back on track last week, going 3-2 for 0.8 units of profit. Really like a few games this week, starting with play on Tuesday night. I am also releasing my fourth play of the year this week on Auburn.

1.) Ball State at Western Michigan (-7) FIRST HALF for 1 unit. L for 1.1 units

2.) GAME OF THE YEAR RELEASE #4: Alabama at Auburn (+10.5) for 2 units.  There are more than several reasons to love Auburn in this spot besides the fact that I am saying they will cover. First, one of the best bets so far this year in both college and the nfl is home dogs off a bye week. Auburn has been a totally different ball club at home this year. They are 6-1 straight up and 4-2 ATS at home this year. Their defense has not been the Auburn defense of old, but this Bama squad’s offense is poor. They have looked good against very weak teams, but not very good against average defenses. If there was ever a good spot for this Auburn defense to shine it would be here. This also sets up as a trap game for Alabama. Everyone is assuming they are playing Florida in the SEC Championship game to determine who plays for the National Title. Therefore, this is any easy look-ahead game for Bama. I really like this spot for Auburn and think they have a legitimate shot to pull the upset. Game of the Year Winner #3. W for 2 units. (I am 3-1 on GOY releases!)

3.) THANKSGIVING SPECIAL: Texas at Texas A&M (+21) for 1 unit. W for 1 unit.

4.) North Carolina at NC State (+6.5) for 1 unit. …

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Vegas Martin’s Week 11 College Football Picks

Posted by in College Football Picks on November 14th, 2009 | Comment »

I don’t like that 6/7 of my picks are road teams, but hell, I like picking proven winners over lousy teams and I think the spreads are pretty favorable.  I usually leave the college games up to Brandon, but I like to post up a few more picks for you to consider on Saturday.  I’ve faired pretty well in college football.  I don’t know my exact record, but I feel that I’m right in the 57-62% area ATS.

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BRANDON’S WEEK 11 PICKS

MY WEEK 10 NFL PICKS

RANKED BY SEMI-STRENGTH:

1.) Kentucky -3 over VANDERBILT — This one looks like an easy winner to me.  Kentucky (5-4) averages 27.1 PPG to Vandy’s (2-8) 16.7 PPG. 10/13 Covers.com experts agree. (W)

2.) Boston College -4 over VIRGINIA — BC has covered their last 5/6. UVA was rolled over by Miami, GT, and Duke in their last 3 games.  I think they get rolled over again and the spread is pretty favorable. (P)

3.) Houston -4 over CENTRAL FLORIDA — Houston has been involved in crazy games lately.  Winning 46-45 and 53-50 in their last two contests.  They’ll just flat-out outscore you.  Take advantage of those close games since the books think they’ll win every week by 1-3 points.  9/11 experts at Covers.com agree with me here. (L)

4.) Clemson -8 over NC STATE — NC State has lost 4 of their last 5 and they can’t stop anyone on defense to save their life.  They’ve given up an average of …

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