College Football Picks

Overall Profit 2.7 units (updated 10/26 at 10:06 pm)

Weekly Loss -1.9 units (updated 10/26 at 10:06 pm)

Just like last week, I have already bet several games early and am releasing them to you so that you can shop around and get the best available line.

1) Air Force at Utah (-11) for 1 unit. Utah should dominate this game from start to finish. Way better balanced attack. AF’s offense can be stopped.

Utah 23 Air Force 16 L for 1.1 units

2) Wake Forest at Navy (-2.5) for 1 unit. Navy continues to improve and will take advantage of weak road team in WF.

Navy 13 Wake Forest 10 W for 1 unit

3) Indiana at Northwestern (-5.5) for 2 units. Northwestern is simply a better squad top to bottom. Indiana is one dimensional and Northwestern should be able to shut them down.

Northwestern 29 Indiana 28 L of 2.2 units

4) Tulsa (-7) at UTEP for 1 unit. I have not bet this game yet myself because I know there are still some 7s out there and the Hilton had the line at -7.5 already.

UTEP 28 TULSA 24 L of 1.1 units

5) Clemson (+6) at Miami for 1 unit.  Clemson can match the speed of Miami and are playing much better than Miami right now. I will take the points.

Clemson 40 Miami 37 W for 1 unit

6) Kent State at Ohio (-10) for 2 unit. Ohio continues to roll. Kent State playing back to back road games in conference, tough spot for them.

Kent State 20 Ohio 11 L for 2.2 units

7) Arizona State (+6) at Stanford for 1 unit. Really like how ASU is playing right now. This would be a …

We finished the week still up 4.6 units overall. Giving us 2 straight profitable weeks. Not bad for a free service.

My top picks were flat awful, no excuses, neither had a chance at all. That is gambling, sometimes even when all the numbers add up you still end up on the wrong side of things.

Week 8 is already upon us with games beginning on Wednesday, which I am already closely analyzing. There are also several other games I am looking at and will again be releasing on this site as early as possible so that you have the opportunity to get the best line available.

Thanks again for all the comments.…

Brandon had a solid week with his picks. He ended up in positive territory with a 7-4 record. My college football picks were 3-4-1. My top 5 got banged up going 1-4 and my bonus picks were 2-0-1.

USC was in the money most of the game, but came out with a 7-point win so they didn’t cover the 10. Wake Forest was blown up by Clemson, Kansas was shockingly upset by Colorado, and Ohio State was upset by Purdue. We finally see the upsets occurring. That’s why you really have to be careful betting against the home underdogs, especially in college football. I was also somewhat surprised by the Virginia Tech loss to Georgia Tech, but GT is a solid football team and it shows you again just how valuable home field is in college football.

I really liked the Boston College pick at a mere -2 at home, but read too much into things since NCS has been able to put up offense and has been solid against the run. They are just unable to win games. I knew BC was the much better football team, but talked myself out of putting it in the top 5 plays due to those reasons.

The South Carolina +18 was another solid call, but I found it hard to bet against a hot team like Alabama, especially when they’re 4-1 ATS and have covered high spreads all season long, but with a quality team like South Carolina, I knew the 18 points was just way too high.

The only game I played in college football was Kansas since I figured they would light up the scoreboard on a bad defense, but Colorado finally put up a solid performance out of nowhere. …

I’ve posted my picks for the Friday Rutgers/Pitt game and the big Red River Rivalry, but like I said in those picks, those games are not worth betting on.  They’re more of just “publicity” posts in order to get more readership to the site since a lot of football fans are searching for information on those games.

In this post, I’ll highlight what I think are the strongest plays to make this Saturday.  As always, home teams in caps (you should know this by now).  Remember to check THE PASS RUSH prior to kick off prior to Saturday and Sunday if there’s any late-breaking information on games or spreads.

VEGAS MARTIN’S TOP 5 PICKS RANKED BY STRENGTH:

1.) Kansas -9.5 over COLORADO: (L) Colorado is really bad at 1-5 and they’re up against the 15th ranked Kansas Jayhawks. Kansas is scoring 40.5 PPG and Colorado is giving up 30 PPG.  Kansas’s Todd Reesing is completing 70% of his passes and has a 13/3 TD/INT ration.  This looks like an easy domination by Kansas.

2.) Ohio State -13 over PURDUE: (L) Ohio State is incredible and Purdue is 1-5.  Purdue lost by 15 to Minnesota last week and lost by 6 to a mediocre Northwestern team the week before.  I don’t think Ohio State has any problems blowing this team out.  This is one of the stronger plays of the week.  There are no major injuries to be worried about except that RB Herron is doubtful, but they can dominate the game even if he can’t play.  Take Ohio State.  Prediction: Ohio State 31 – Purdue 10.

3.) Wake Forest +7.5 over CLEMSON: (L) I don’t understand why Clemson is such a heavy favorite.  Wake Forest has a much better QB …

Tomorrow is the Red River Rivalry, which means that Texas and Oklahoma gear up for their battle at high noon.  This is one of my favorite football games of the year.  There’s just something about this rivalry that gets me all geeked up.  At THE PASS RUSH, I like to explore these big college matchups to give new visitors a sneak peak at the free football betting services that we provide.  Let’s turn to the action.

NO. 3 TEXAS LONGHORNS (5-0, 2-0) -3 VS. NO. 20 OKLAHOMA SOONERS (3-2, 1-0)

Date: Saturday, October 17 — Noon (ABC)

First, the Red River Rivalry takes place on a neutral field.  It takes place at the Cotton Bowl in Dallas, so you don’t have to worry about how home-field will effect this game, although it’s more of a home game for Texas.

You also have to look into the Sooners record. You see 3-2 and may assume they’re a weaker team this year, but you have to look into that since Oklahoma could easily be 5-0 if Bradford didn’t get injured.  OU has faced two tough losses.  The first loss was in week one to a quality BYU team who beat them by a mere point, 14-13.  Their second loss of the season came from a stellar Miami team in another one-point loss, 21-20.

Sam Bradford was injured in the first week of the season and didn’t make a comeback until last week when he played outstanding, defeating Baylor 33-7.  How about these stats.  27/49, 389 yards, 1 TD, 0 INTs.  Although he completed only 55% of his passes, those are quality numbers.  The Sooners running game is also legit, but Texas isn’t far behind.  Oklahoma ran for 203 yards on Baylor.

Texas …

PITTSBURGH PANTHERS (5-1) -6 @ RUTGERS SCARLET KNIGHTS (4-1)

Tonight’s college football action features a pretty decent game for a Friday night.  Pittsburgh will be traveling to take on the Rutgers.  After Rutgers was embarrassed in week one by Cincinnati, a lot of people wrote off Rutgers as a terrible team, but we didn’t realize just how good of a team Cincinnati truly is.  Despite rattling off four straight wins, Rutgers hasn’t beaten anyone impressive.  They destroyed Texas Southern last week 42-0 and beat Maryland 34-13 the week before.

Pittsburgh is coming off a last-minute win against UCONN at home last week.  Pittsburgh has an edge at the QB position.  Bill Stull is completing 67% of his passes, has passed for 13 TDs with just 3 INTs, and has 1256 yards.  That’s almost double Rutgers’ QB Tom Savage’s output, who is only completing 55% of his passes.

What’s impressed me with Rutgers lately is their defense and play against the run.  In Rutger’s last 3 games, they’ve completely shut down the run, allowing just 0.6 yards per attempt.  On the year, they’re allowing just 2.3 yards per attempt.  In all other stats, these teams match up pretty well.  Both score an average of 31-34 points while the defenses allow 16-18 points.

With Pittsburgh’s QB, that gives Pittsburgh a tremendous edge, but I’m really impressed with how Rutgers has been able to completely shut down the run the last few games.

10/16 experts like Pittsburgh to cover the spread and Pittsburgh has 67% of the consensus vote.  I’m going against the grain here.  I think Pittsburgh may have done a little too much partying last week after the UCONN win and comes out with a lack of focus.

I’ll take the …

Overall Profit 6.2 units (updated as of 10/14 11:18 pm)

Weekly Running Profit: 2 unit (updated as of 10/14 11:18 pm)

We are coming off one of our greatest weeks ever. However, those bets don’t count this week and we need to keep rolling and finding solid plays. I have already jumped on four games as I saw some key statistical advantages and some key line moves that gave indication for strong plays.

1. Boise State vs Tulsa (+8.5) for 1 unit This game is Wednesday Night! Remember to look for the best available line.

Boise State 28 Tulsa 21 (W) 1 unit of profit.

2. Kent State (-6.5) at Eastern Michigan for 1 unit (W)

3. Miami OH at Ohio (-13.5)for 1 unit (W)

4. Texas Tech at Nebraska (-10) for 1 unit (L)

5. Arkansas State at UL-Monore (-1) for 1 unit  This game is on Tuesday Night.

UL Monroe 16 Arkansas State 10, (W) 1 unit of profit

6. Bowling Green at Ball State (+3) for 2 units (Ball State gets their first win of the season!) (L)

7. Baylor (+2.5) at Iowa State for 2 units (Baylor wins outright! Iowa State will still be affected by last weeks close upset loss to Kansas, you will definitely see a non-focused team. ISU gets beat by 2 touchdowns.) (L)

8. Virginia at Maryland (+3) for 1 unit: Maryland has been close in several games this year and I think they come through with a home win over Virginia. (L)

9. Georgia (-9.5) at Vanderbilt for 1 unit. Vandy is simply not good enough to stop Georgia’s offense. Plus Georgia’s D will put plenty of pressure on the QB and cause several TOs. (W)

10. Akron (+7.5) vs …