College Football Picks

Overall Profit 0.2 units

We dropped one unit yesterday as Louisville forgot that they had to play two halfs of football to cover the spread!!

I am just posting the picks for today as I want to get them up on the site as soon as possible.

1. Virginia (+13) at UNC for 1 unit (W)
2. Wisconsin at Minnesota (-3) for 1 unit (P)
3. Michigan at Michigan State (-3.5) for 1 unit (W)
4. Tulsa at Rice (+17) for 1 unit (P)
5. Air Force (+2.5) at Army for 2 units (L)
6. FIRST HALF New Mexico at Texas Tech (-20) for 1 unit (L)

Good Luck!…

Overall Profit 1.3 units

Hope several of you were able to cash a ticket last night as we brought home an easy winner with UAB winning outright as a 9 point dog. We look to continue rolling tonight and win our third straight game.

Pitt vs Louisville (+7) This line simply does not make a whole lot of sense to me. For the second straight week Pitt is a road favorite and I simply do see enough from them to be laying a touchdown in conference play. Louisville has not been all that impressive losing 2 of 3, but have faced difficult road challenges playing at Kentucky and Utah. They now return home to open up conference play and I expect to see a much different team tonight. Pitt does dominate in most statistical categories, but I just don’t think these two defenses are all that different. Therefore, look for Louisville’s D to slow the Panthers down and keep this game close for the offense. Another thing that seems suspect is that most sites show that the majority of the money continues to roll in on Pitt. However, the line has not really moved all that much as it remains at 7. Which seems to indicate to me that some “smart” money is really on Louisville and if this line would be adjusted the heavy hitters would pound Louisville. I look for this game to be very similar to last night’s battle with Louisville coming away with the win.

The Play: Louisville (+7) for 1 unit. (L)

Good Luck…

Overall Profit 0.3 units

Easy winner with La Tech last night and hopefully we can keep that rolling tonight.

SMU at UAB (+9.5): sorry for the short write-up, very busy day. UAB looks to revenge a big loss from last year. They get SMU at home and should keep this close throughout.

The Play UAB (+9.5) for 1 unit.

Good Luck.…

Profit/Loss Total -0.7 unit.

Hawaii vs. Louisiana Tech (-4.5) Great spot for LT here at home. Their schedule started off pretty tough having to start play on the road at Auburn and Navy. Last week they got their first win against a cupcake opponent and they should be building that confidence off that win. Hawaii is in a tough spot playing their third consecutive road game and easily facing their toughest opponent yet. Plus they are coming off a tough road loss at UNLV last out. Hawaii is not the team they were a couple of years ago and will struggle to win more than 5 games as their schedule gets more difficult the rest of the way. Jump on this game early as I see it going off more around 6 or 7.

The Play LOUISIANA TECH 1 unit…

Current Profit/Loss: +0.3 units. The season is still early and we are still are on the plus side.

OLE MISS VS SOUTH CAROLINA OVER 53

I really think there has been a change in the SEC this year. It seems as though the offensives are much better than the defenses this year. QB’s are really taking aim at weaker secondaries and the scores have been evident of that fact. Just look at some of the scores with SEC teams involved from Week 3:

1) Georgia 52 Arkansas 41

2) Auburn 41 WVU 30

3) UK 31 Loui 27

4) Ole Miss 52 SE Loui 6

Week 2:

1) Auburn 49 Miss St 24

2) Georgia 41 SC 37

This is just few examples. Remember this is a conference that has been historically filled with power/defensive-minded teams. Therefore, the books really haven’t adjusted these totals yet and I think that will come in the next few weeks, a major adjustment in the totals. However, tonight’s number is way too low. I think it should be set closer to 57. So take the over as these teams should put 60+ points tonight.

THE PLAY: OLE MISS/SC OVER 53 for 1 unit

Good Luck.…

WEEK IN REVIEW:

It was a good week.  I had the Vikings ring the register, who I put the majority of my money on this week.  Unfortunately, Andre Johnson going off, which I had a feeling might happen, took some of that away.  I had more faith in the Titans D.

I then got added some more cash to my account with the Colts at -3 over Miami.  I knew it would be a tight game and I didn’t like the spread at -4.5 as you could tell, but when I saw it at -3, I jumped on it.  I was anticipating a Colts win by 3 or 4. I’d rather be on the side of Peyton Manning in this one and that was the right side to take at -3.  Tough loss for the Dolphins who had something ridiculous like 45 minutes of possession.

Before writing up my full analysis of EVERY GAME ON TOP, I wanted to throw out some college picks that gave me a chubby and see what Brandon thinks since he’s the college expert, not me.

COLLEGE LINES THAT CAUGHT MY ATTENTION (HOME TEAMS IN CAPS):

KANSAS -13.5 over South Mississippi — Heck, I would take -13.5 over Mississippi State, who the hell is South Mississippi?  Eh, South Miss is 3-0 with wins against Virginia and Central Florida.  Those programs are no joke.  Maybe this game has upset alert on it.

BYU -15 (Buy a point to -14) over Colorado St. — I’m feeling a rebound game for a team that likes to crush teams in their division, but Colorado St. is 3-0 with with wins over Nevada and Colorado.

TENNESSEE -21.5 (Buy a half-point to -21) over Ohio — If they can hang with …

Overall Profit/Loss: +0.6 units (back on the plus side with a nice win with Boise State last night).

I know I usually write a decent analysis of the games, but in an effort just to get these up I am posting them without analysis. If you have specific questions about a game please let me know and I will respond.

Michigan State at Notre Dame (-10): The Play ND (-10) 1 unit. Look for ND to rebound after their loss and they play much better at home.

La Lafayette at LSU (-27.5): The Play LSU (-27.5) 2 unit. Too much talent on the LSU in this contest.

UCONN at Baylor (-10): The Play Baylor (-10) 1 unit. Real tough spot for UCONN off last weeks tough loss.

Florida State (+8) at BYU: The Play FSU (+8) 1 unit. If Miami is as good as they looked against GT, maybe FSU is better than most think.

Cincinnati at Oregon State (+1.5) The Play OSU (+1.5) 1 unit. OSU surprises the Bearcats in this spot.

BASEBALL PLAY: KC at White Sox UNDER 9.5 1 unit.…