Thanks to the Eagles (-3), I was able to make up some ground where the Ravens left me short ATS. I’m not crazy about tonight’s game. Tonight we have the Miami Dolphins (-2) hosting the New York Jets Sunday night with the over/under at 35.5. I’m going to make a small play on a teaser of Dolphins (+5) and Under 42.5. I’m going to keep it small. Not a pick that I love, but the Eagles made up some ground and I’m looking to keep that going. I’m expecting a tight boring defensive game.
Why do I like Miami? It’s in Miami, Revis is out, Calvin Pace is out, and Braylon Edwards got a DUI (team distraction).
Prediction: Dolphins 16 – Jets 13
Tonight’s Play: Teaser Miami (+5), Under 42.5 (Confidence: 2.5/5)
Site Note: Although we played the Eagles. The home dog theory turned out to be legit. You couldn’t say we didn’t warn the people who played the Redskins, 49ers, and Chargers. 3 defeats via home dogs when nobody saw it coming. Eagles, Steelers, Colts, and Bengals topped the home dogs though. Home dogs were 3-4 ATS this week. Like I said, it’s just something that must be considered.
Go watch Kenny Powers instead. Tonight. HBO. 10:30.
Well I had a rough Thursday night. Pitt looked like THE worst team in CFB, total opposite of what they looked like against Utah. I am sorry for that pick I wrote about. Forgive me. But I hope you did play on Joey G’s UNDER, contrarily to what many of you thought, which hit easily.
Last Sunday in my ‘Small Play’ article I went 3-1-0 with the only loss coming as the Giants got smacked by Peyton and Co. I feel as if I know the NFL much better than CFB, so I will not make any CFB picks but stay with the NFL. I am putting this article out a little earlier than usual so you can soak in my picks and take some winners. I am most confident in my first two plays, but I like them all.
1) Play on the UNDER 33 in the Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Pittsburgh Steelers game.Both offenses are terrible and Pitt has their third string QB starting the game. LOSER
2) Play on the UNDER 37 in the Cleveland Browns and Baltimore Ravens game. Look for Baltimore to score more points with their defense this week than their offense, especially with Seneca Wallace getting the start. This is one of my most confident picks of the season so far. Me and JOEY G both love this under. Take it. LOSER
3) Play on the Atlanta Falcons (+3.5) against the N.O. Saints. Atlanta’s defense has been very impressive so far this year, look for them to cause problems for Drew Brees and his offense. I bet not too many of you like this pick, and that’s exactly why I do. I just told Joey G about my pick, he gave me the …
We're POPPING BOTTLES like we won a CHAMPIONSHIP GAME!
Today is looking good my friends. My top two 1:00 picks of Atlanta (-6.5) and Green Bay (-13) were right on point. Eagles (-4.5 or -6) was about to hit with a 35-24 lead until DET scored a TD in last two minutes and made it 35-32 with 2-pt conversion — good thing I don’t bet on my own team outright, but put them in my teaser card at (+0.5). Lions recover onsides kick. Are you serious? Riley Cooper muffs the grab. EAGLES STOP LIONS ON 4TH DOWN. HELL YEAH! WOOOOOOOOOOO!
I then threw the ATL and GB picks into a teaser and paired it with Eagles (+0.5) and that card is alive going into Patriots (-3) @ Jets. I have Pats (+4) as my last pick on that card and I’m even thinking of rolling some winnings from Green Bay and Atlanta into the Pats (-3).
The Kid’s top play of PIT/TEN under hit. They hit with CHI (+7) but missed on CLE (-2) and CAR (-3.5), but nailed CAR/TB Under to go 3-2. I had the Chiefs and I don’t think many people expected CAR to lose at home. CHI (+7) was the call and he was on the right side of that. I was expecting a better performance for DAL’s home opener.
Keep an eye out on the “take the points” special teaser on the next page . . . .
There’s plenty of worry about the Jets upsetting New England. Jets have back-to-back home games, the Jets have had this one on their radar since last year (but so have the Pats), and Vegas may favoring them with the opening line at (-1) before the public pounded …
I am completely baffled by this line. I think that Houston should be a double digit favorite in this one.
Houston should cruise to an easy victory tonight in UCLA.
UCLA couldn’t even score a point in their home opener against Stanford. Their offensive confidence has to be at zero. They have turned it over seven times in two games! Houston has forced five themselves this season and should have a hay day (or night) against UCLA. Although Houston didn’t play a powerhouse in UTEP last week, they still managed to get 656 total yards which anyway should boost their confidence on offense.
After losing 35-0 in their home opener, all home field advantage has been lost in my opinion for the Bruins. This is Houston’s first road game of the season, but the Bruins are only 1-4 ATS in their last five at games at home.
UCLA seems to have trouble controlling the ball and with their turnovers should hand the Cougars an easy cover tonight.
Key Factor: Houston is 8-2 in their last ten non-conference games in September.
If you are looking to place a wager on tonight’s game you should probably consider the following.
NY Giants: According to the Giants Head Coach their offense has been severely limited due to several key injuries. The Giants normally play a two tight-end set, but will likely be limited to a one tight-end set tonight due to several injuries to their tight-ends. The coach also stated that the starting offense would be limited to about 15-18 plays before the second string would hit the field. The Giants have been running their mouth a lot and giving the Jets a lot of “bulletin board” material to get them fired up over the past week. Giants defense appears to be pretty healthy and ready to go.
Jets: The Jets appear to be relatively healthy and should come in pretty prepared for this game. The starting offense is expected to play into the 2nd quarter. Giants said that the Jets playing starters longer would not effect their strategy for the game. One important note is that the Jets are appearing this year on the HBO Hard Knocks show. Several of the teams that have been filmed for this this show have really struggled with their overall play in the season that followed them appearing on the show as it appears to distract the players from the overall routine of getting ready for the season as the cameras are constantly on them.
Based on the above, I would lean towards the Jets -3 and the under 33.5. Again, these are leans. Nothing really jumps out as me as making this game a must bet besides being bored on a Monday Night.
If you do a little research and make some educated guesses based on current comments by coaches and players as to their intentions for any of their preseason games, you may have a chance to build that bankroll even before the season officially starts.
Saturday Leans:
1. Detroit (+2.5) vs Pittsburgh: Even w/o Big Ben Pitt is still the better team. However, Detroit has won more games in the past two preseasons than they have in either season combined. Therefore, I still look for the Detroit coaches to push for a win here, just to help the overall morale of this team. So look for Detroit to come out and play harder as this game may mean more to Detroit than Pittsburgh. Lean towards Det.
2. Minnesota (+2.5) vs St. Louis: Without Favre confirmed to be the starter look for the QBs from Minnesota to take the field focused on earning a starting QB role. Therefore, you may see some more passing from the Vikings, plus their running game will be solid even when they get pretty deep on their bench. St. Louis still has a long way to go to be considered a professional football team. Lean towards Minny.
These are not blockbuster picks, this is the presason so anything could happen. Just some insight I have gained through some interviews with coaches and players that I have heard this year.…
Yup… It’s that time of year again! NFL training camps are in full gear. Talks about who’s in and who’s out! Talks about the aging but still worthy receiver Terrel Owens heading to Cinci….Finally Albert Haynesworth passes his fitness test, but will Mike Shanahan and Haynesworth get it together in time? Will Shanahan’s return to Mile High be received with embrace and recognition or will we hear boos and mockery? Will my beloved Steelers fair well without their starting QB for the first quarter of the season?
Many questions and many concerns hovering around the league. The uncertainty coupled with parody certainly perpetuates our desire to spend our Sundays, Monday and sometimes Thursdays with our football friends and foes, while demonstrating a complete disregard to the many off season efforts at the local gym, as we endure our NFL games while eating fatty foods, drinking lots of beer and using profanity over/under 4.5 times per hour, while shaving those precious years away due to the stress associated with our handicapping successes and failures. Yes it’s back! September 9th at The Superdome at 8:30 PM Sharp! Super Bowl Champion New Orleans Saints host the Favre plagued Minnesota Vikings. Two dome teams promising us an action packed full throttle type game which will surely be a shootout! I’m personally curious to see how New Orleans will defend their title, after having spent an offseason celebrating. This season will surely be another great chapter to out NFL memories!…
If you are looking to place a wager on tonight’s game you should probably consider the following.
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