I guess you can’t win ’em all. While we won our two big games this week thanks to Green Bay and Atlanta, the Pats busted a nice 4-team teaser that I hit the first 3 picks on. You can’t say we didn’t warn you. I even called the Pats pick a “suckers pick” and that the game was on upset alert. Looks like I’m the sucker. I also said don’t bet against home dogs and that saved you from taking the Ravens. I should have listened to my own advice. What are you going to do? We still cleaned up with the rest of them. If I substituted the Pats, I probably would have went Panthers +3.5 and that wouldn’t have worked out either. I’ll take my winnings from the last four days and keep on trucking.
The Jets are another irritating team to try to bet on or against thanks to the inconsistent Mark Sanchez. Last week he plays like Ryan Leaf. This week he plays like Tom Brady while Tom Brady plays like him. Thankfully, sports books were so slammed at 4:00 that I couldn’t even put more on the Pats. Good dodge. Should have also stuck with Chargers instead of flipping on that one, but I gave it a 1/5 and said don’t play it. A lot of people were all over the Jags (+8) after Garrard had a nice game against Denver, but he threw 4 picks in this one.
Tonight there has been significant line movement with money pouring in on the Giants. The line opened at Giants (+5.5) and is now (+4). Will the Colts win? Probably. Will it be close? Likely. Can the Giants pull off the upset and win? I …
I hope all of you have been following my picks since Thursday night. I am 3-1-0 ATS since joining this site and hope to make you guys some more money today. How about Vegas and Brandon though absolutely dominating last night? That’s awesome.
I hope you guys have taken a look at my over/under special today for the three NFL games that I liked.
Today though I was looking through the 1:00 games and found one that stuck out to me. I like the Carolina Panthers today against the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Last week Carolina was playing right with the New York Giants all game and should have easily covered that spread, until they turned it over five times, not to mention letting Eli throw the ball all over them. There is no way that Carolina is going to allow Tampa Bay to force five turnovers out of them today.
Tampa Bay on the other hand was in jeopardy of losing outright in their opener, but then Jake Delhomme saved their game with his late interceptions and poor decision making.
Not only do I like Carolina in this game, but I like the under as well. Neither team could make it to 20 points last week. Plus the line movement opening at 39 for the total has been dropped down to 38.5 which is an indication that most people already see the under as a possibility. I sense maybe a 17-10 or 20-13 final today with Carolina coming out victorious.
KEYS: Panthers are 5-1 ATS in their last six, 4-1 ATS at home. Panthers thrive against NFC opponents ATS going 8-1 in their last nine. The under is 8-0 in Tampa Bay’s last …
I hope many of you are telling your friends about our site and are getting them into the betting ‘game’. Vegas, Brandon, Joey G, and myself are on fire right now. We have really come together and made some fantastic calls for you. We provide easy winners each week, tell your boys about our site.
Today is my favorite day of the week, NFL Sunday. Last Sunday I went 6-2 on my money picks. Check out my “The Kid’s Week Two ‘Sharp Play'”. That is my big play of the day. I see a few other small plays that I like today as well.
From strongest to weakest:
1. Play on the UNDER in the Tennessee and Pittsburgh game at 36. I love this UNDER as both teams put up very impressive defensive shows last week. Titans win this game 13-10 with an easy under winner. Enjoy.
2. Play on the UNDER in the St. Louis Rams and Oakland Raiders game at 37.5. This game should be another UNDER winner for you. Last week each team put 13 points. I do not see these offenses exploding today, the defenses will shut down the terrible offensives and go way under. Final score: Oakland wins 17-13.
3. Play on the Chicago Bears (+7) against the Dallas Cowboys. Chicago played well last week but I still don’t think they have you all convinced of what they can do. They will come in and give Dallas all they can handle. Dallas by 3.
4. Play on the New York Giants (+5) against the Indianapolis Colts. Giants will give the Colts all they can handle. Eli Manning will hit the deep ball and then pound the ball on the ground today with …
Add another win to the list! Arizona topped Iowa to make my top 3 picks of the week hit. This comes straight from the list we posted after our Thursday and Friday Night winners.
What do I like tomorrow? I think you have to pick wisely tomorrow. I don’t want to bet against home dogs, which is why the Ravens (-3) and Pats (-3) are not getting my attention, although they may possibly be good picks to take. The best two home teams to take tomorrow are probably Green Bay (-13) over Buffalo and Atlanta (-6.5) over Arizona. Virtually all other games are good opportunities to take the points.
Last week I told you that I’m bringing on a new contributor to the site. The dude starts you off 2-0 ATS. The NC State/Cincinnati under 54.5 was an easy winner and Nevada absolutely cruised to a victory. It wasn’t even fair. Even better is the fact that he delivered two wins on Thursday night and Friday night to set up the table for what should be a great Saturday in college football before going into a tough Sunday in the NFL.
For the person who said, “sure, now you talk about your pick of Texans over Colts. Show us what you can do before the games.” Looks like he showed you.
Look on Coach Singletary's face when Seattle beat him 31-6.
We hope you enjoyed the Thursday Night Winner: NC State/Cincinnati Under 54.5. You can thank our new contributor Joey G for that one as well as further support from both Brandon and I on board with that pick if you take the time to read through the comments. Thank you to everyone who comments and contributes to the site to make it more interactive.
Brandon has added a ton of more games this his Saturday lineup for you to check out. He’s got plenty of games with the points on his card that he’s looking to take advantage of including Arizona State (+14), Ball State (+17), and Mississippi State (+8). Be sure to check out some of those picks.
This is just a reminder for everyone to get their picks in for the pick ’em league. If you haven’t joined, we’re only 1 week in and there’s 16 weeks of action left so there’s plenty of time to catch up and play for the title, which will earn you a free NFL shop custom t-shirt. Click here to register. League ID is 10945 and the password is thepassrush.
Congratulations to league leaders Fozzy_Bucs and erstiffs who sit atop the leaderboard and posted an insane 10-3-3 record against the spread last week. I wonder how they come out this week. They each got three different games wrong interestingly. Both had Houston over Colts and Seattle over 49ers so you may call it luck or maybe they know what the hell they’re doing. Fozzy had CHI, ATL, and SD wrong while erstiffs had BUF, DEN, and DAL wrong. Only 5/30 had Seattle and Kansas City covering while …
Browns will 'ground and pound' to an easy victory this Sunday
I am not the kind of “bettor” that takes every single game he sees and likes. I, on the other hand, only have a few games that jump out at me. One intriguing game that jumped out at me was this week’s Kansas City Chiefs at Cleveland Browns (-2).
Kansas City is coming off an emotionally-high victory against the defending AFC West champion, San Diego Chargers. I don’t think too many of you saw that one coming. (See Vegas’ Week 1 Picks Everyone Got Wrong article). Now America loves the Chiefs after watching them handle the Chargers.
Now you look at the spread of the Chiefs/Browns (-2) and immediately want to bet with the Chiefs getting points. I mean sure, why not? No way Chiefs will lose to a struggling Browns team that doesn’t even know who their starting QB is. A preseason AFC West favorite (San Diego) lost to a Kansas City team that had many questions themselves. Vegas LOVES the KC victory because they know they have you hooked on them and playing a questioned Cleveland Browns team.
My “Sharp Play” of the week is taking the Cleveland Browns at (-2) this week against the Chiefs. …
I guess you can’t win ’em all. While we won our two big games this week thanks to Green Bay and Atlanta, the Pats busted a nice 4-team teaser that I hit the first 3 picks on. You can’t say we didn’t warn you. I even called the Pats pick a “suckers pick” and that the game was on upset alert. Looks like I’m the sucker. I also said don’t bet against home dogs and that saved you from taking the Ravens. I should have listened to my own advice. What are you going to do? We still cleaned up with the rest of them. If I substituted the Pats, I probably would have went Panthers +3.5 and that wouldn’t have worked out either. I’ll take my winnings from the last four days and keep on trucking.
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