NFL Picks

I feel I let a lot of you down with my NFL picks this week, so I just wanted to say a word about them. I was on fire week 5 in the NFL, everything I took was gold. I figured that if I nailed 3/3 high spreads in week 5, I could repeat it again this week.

Overall my NFL picks were 7-9 and 3 losses were by 1 point (Steelers, Vikings, and Bengals/Texans Over). 1 game away from .500 isn’t that bad. It was just the top 5 that consisted of the wrong games. Hindsight is always 20/20, but looking back, I wouldn’t have made many changes to my picks. Betting against the Raiders, Browns, and Rams has worked all season long, so why reinvent the wheel, right?  Well, every dog has its day — welcome to gambling.

The Eagles offensive line forgot to show up and the injury to Pro Bowl LT Jason Peters in the 1st quarter is what did the Eagles in that game.  Their backup LT is miserable!  The left tackle is the most important position in football besides the QB, in my opinion.  McNabb never got more than 3 seconds to release the football.  That was the difference in that game.  Then in the Jets game, Mark Sanchez threw 5 INTs.  Enought said there.

I would have moved the Packers up a bit due to the Calvin Johnson being inactive. That info on Johnson didn’t come out until right before the game though.  I bet this game right before kickoff, but didn’t get the update up on the site in time. The Patriots and Panthers also warranted higher picks, but at least I added them as picks to consider in the top 5.…

Brandon had a solid week with his picks. He ended up in positive territory with a 7-4 record. My college football picks were 3-4-1. My top 5 got banged up going 1-4 and my bonus picks were 2-0-1.

USC was in the money most of the game, but came out with a 7-point win so they didn’t cover the 10. Wake Forest was blown up by Clemson, Kansas was shockingly upset by Colorado, and Ohio State was upset by Purdue. We finally see the upsets occurring. That’s why you really have to be careful betting against the home underdogs, especially in college football. I was also somewhat surprised by the Virginia Tech loss to Georgia Tech, but GT is a solid football team and it shows you again just how valuable home field is in college football.

I really liked the Boston College pick at a mere -2 at home, but read too much into things since NCS has been able to put up offense and has been solid against the run. They are just unable to win games. I knew BC was the much better football team, but talked myself out of putting it in the top 5 plays due to those reasons.

The South Carolina +18 was another solid call, but I found it hard to bet against a hot team like Alabama, especially when they’re 4-1 ATS and have covered high spreads all season long, but with a quality team like South Carolina, I knew the 18 points was just way too high.

The only game I played in college football was Kansas since I figured they would light up the scoreboard on a bad defense, but Colorado finally put up a solid performance out of nowhere. …

What’s up my peeps.  Vegas Martin is back and ready to give his NFL Week 6 picks against the spread.  It’s no secret that THE PASS RUSH has absolutely given the books the spanking this past week in both the NFL and College Football.  I don’t want to get too cocky here since there is no such thing as a lock and I will also advise you to do your own due diligence on each game you pick, but let’s take a look at the spreads and see if we can spot any easy money this week.  Again, I ranked my top 5 spreads of the week at the bottom of this article.  Enjoy!  Thanks for all the comments lately — keep it up and thanks for contributing to THE PASS RUSH.

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS @ WASHINGTON REDSKINS -6

I’ve been saying for the last few weeks that the Redskins are a horrible team to bet on.  They have a very poor offense, but their defense gives them the chance to win every week.  I also love picking against “NFL retards,” one of which includes the Kansas City Chiefs.  The Chiefs were able to hang with the Cowboys, but they’re a completely different team when they’re on the road compared to being at home.  For the sake of picking this game, I’ll say the Redskins cover and win by a TD, but would I be surprised with a mere 3-point win by the Redskins?  No.  Avoid this game.

Prediction: Redskins 20 – Chiefs 13

Free Pick: Redskins -6 (Confidence: 2/5) (L)

HOUSTON TEXANS @ CINCINNATI BENGALS -4.5

The Bengals are 4-1, can you believe it?  I can’t!  With a poor Texans defense and potent offense, I think the over 46 …

After kicking ass and taking names on Saturday in college football, THE PASS RUSH took those winnings and went up even more on Sunday.  THE PASS RUSH played the Vikings -10, Giants -14.5, and Eagles -15 and they were all winners.  The pick of the week was the Vikings and I simply could not understand the low spread on a team that does not score.  If the books are giving out free money, I am going to take it.

The Vikings were the ONLY pick this year that I gave a rare 5/5 rating. A 5/5 rating is achieved on only 1-2% of my picks.  I was also very high on the Giants, which you could read in my articles for the NFL Week 5 football action.  I typically recommend sticking to the top 1 or 2 NFL spreads each week, but I also laid down some money on my Philadelphia Eagles since I attended the game and knew they would kick another NFL retard’s ass.  Great, great game.

Now there were some losers in my top 5.  I’m not going to pretend that there weren’t.  The Steelers were unable to cover by 2.5 points.  The Panthers failed to cover by a half point, but you might have been able to get that game at -3 to push.  I also misunderestimated (I believe that term was coined by either George Bush or Barack Obama, or was it Roger Clemons?) the Denver Broncos.  We can now finally say that the Broncos are legit.  I picked the Patriots to cover the 3 points since I couldn’t see the Broncos moving to 5-0 against the Patriots, but they did in overtime.

Lastly, my Colts -3 pick over the Titans also hit.  I had …

It was a tremendous Saturday for THE PASS RUSH. Vegas’s and Brandon’s college football picks went a combined 11-4 (73.33%).  That’s more than 2 out of 3.  As Meatloaf would say, 2 outa 3 ain’t bad. Anytime you’re picking 2 out of 3 winners, you’re doing damn good. In fact, if you’re hitting 55-60% of your picks, you’re doing your job.  We also started off the day going 8-1 with our first 9 picks in the early games on Saturday.  It’s always good to get those early winners.

Brandon’s posted picks went 6-3. Including his last minute picks of Maryland and Utah, he scored an 8-3 record.  That’s why you guys gotta read the comments.  That’s where you’ll get last-minute updates on spreads and the hot games to take right before kickoff.  Also be sure to leave some of your own thoughts on the games.

Brandon proved all the haters wrong on his Kentucky +9 call on the road against South Carolina. What makes this week all the better is that Brandon’s “call of the week” (Oregon St.) — a.k.a. his 2-unit bet (on his 1-2 unit scale for you rookies) — was a big winner.

Vegas Martin’s picks went 3-1. He picked 4 college games. The 3 games he was most confident in all hit. The sole game that he lost he even gave a mere 1/5 confidence rating and picked it purely on hunch due to his theory that FSU would win this game for Coach Bowden. FSU was close, but no cigar, losing by a score of 49-44.

I’m not counting the LSU game since I specifically advised you fools to avoid betting on this game and not take the points if Timmy Tebow …

Last week we added some coin to our position with the Giants over the Chiefs as our “game of the week,” but lost a little on the Bengals who beat the Browns, but didn’t cover the number.  After looking at the spreads this week, they are pretty tough, but let’s try to sort these out.

This could be the toughest week so far this year.  I usually like to exploit weak teams like the Browns, Raiders, Chiefs, so that’s where my eye will be this week.  Let’s take a look at the NFL week 5 spreads.  You have to be very cautious betting against home underdogs.  It worked last week with the Chiefs, but the Browns, Broncos, and Dolphins all covered as home dogs and 2 won outright.

I also wanted to point out that there is a NEW POLL, so go ahead and vote!

MINNESOTA VIKINGS -10 @ ST. LOUIS RAMS

How could you not like the Vikings here?  They are 4-0 with the NFL’s greatest running back, being led down the field by Brett Favre, and have a tremendous defense with sack-master Jared Allen to boot. The Rams are pathetic and are averaging 6.0 points-per-game (PPG) — a league worst.  Odds are the Rams don’t even score.  They have been shut out twice this year by the Packers and Seahawks and the Vikings D is better than both squads.

The Vikings will likely pile on the points.  I expect a blowout. 35-0. 38-0.  This pick should be easy money.  The spread is so low it has be thinking whether it’s a “trap game.”   A trap game against the Rams?  No way.  I thought the Vikings/Browns game was a trap game and I cashed in on the Vikings …

There’s been a lot of updates to the site, so the NFL Week 4 Predictions have been pushed down the main page, so I wanted to put up my top 5 picks again.  Follow the the link to get the full run-down of every NFL game this week.

THE BOTTOM LINE — TOP 5 SPREADS THIS WEEK (RANKED BY AWESOMENESS):

I don’t like the fact they’re I’m picking 5 road teams, but hell, that’s the way it works out sometimes.

1.) Giants -9 over CHIEFS (W)

2.) Bengals -5.5 over BROWNS (L)

3.) Bills -2 over DOLPHINS (L)

4.) Cowboys -3 over BRONCOS (L)

5.) Chargers +6.5 over STEELERS (L)

UPDATE: My two bets this week were the Giants (5 units) and the Bengals (3 units).  At least we ended up in positive territory on those and the “pick of the week” (Giants) was a success.  The next 3 picks didn’t pan out, but I didn’t have any money on those games since I’ll be sticking to taking the best one or two spreads each week and ignore the rest.

The Denver D is actually better than my expectations.  How did they go from being awful to being good?  That Brandon Marshall TD on the Broncos last drive could very well be this week’s play of the week.  What a talented receiver.  Makes pretty glad that I picked him up late in my fantasy league.…