THE PASS RUSH :: "NFL and college football picks against the spread." | NFL | NBA | NHL | MLB
| Log in |

NFL Picks

Phillips’ MNF Underdog Outright Win Lock of the Year

Posted by in NFL Picks on October 27th, 2008 | Comment »

Indianapolis (+165) outright win over Tennessee

Examining the stats Tennessee is clearly the favorite and rightly deserves to be, however the Colts will win this game. First, what is the difference between Tennessee and Baltimore? Statistically almost nothing. Both defenses give up about 250 yards per game (rushing under 100 passing almost exactly 179) and both offenses average about 300 yards (Rushing close to 150, passing about 160). Second, what did the Colts do against do to the Ravens? Colts 31 Ravens 3. Thirdly, why were the Colts able to dominate the Ravens? Well Manning and the Colts got their timing back and looked the explosvie offense of old. Manning is still in that preseason form, he missed the preseason because the knee surgery, and he is still looking to find that rhythmn with his offense. So he is going to have some games where he looks that the old Manning and some games that he simply looks old. However, after last weeks complete embarrassment, I am sure the offense will be much more focused and ready to go. The defense will have to do the same thing they did when they played the Ravens. I am sure the Colts defense will pack the box with 8 or even 9 guys to stop the explosive running game of Titans and this should cause more pressure on Collins, forcing him to make quick decisions and possibly poor decisions. The Colts defense has to cause a few turnovers tonight for the Colts to win. In my opinion turnovers is the most critical aspect of this game. If the Colts win the TO category they will win this game. The Colts are 5-0 ATS on Monday Night Football. I know that recently the …

Entry Link | Digg This! | hype it up! | Bark It Up | Leave a Comment

NFL Week 8 Predictions and Picks Against the Spread

Posted by in NFL Picks on October 22nd, 2008 | Comment »

NFL WEEK 7 REACTION:

Last week I saw a great opportunity to get back into the game with an 8 team teaser that paid 10:1. There were a lot of games that I would put into the lock category with the extra 7 points such as the Titans -2 over the Chiefs, Texans -2.5 over Lions, Steelers -2.5 over Bengals, Browns +14.5 over Redskins. I thought Jets/Raiders and Bears/Vikings could go either way, but both those games worked out. It was the Saints that let us down. Before the game, Saints +10 looked like a very solid bet. All the Saints would have to do is score 17 and they should cover. Well, a Shockey fumble and a Drew Brees interception led to 14 points, Reggie Bushed injured his knee right before the second half and the game was pretty much over at that point.

NFL WEEK 8 SUMMARY:

Jets -13 at home over the Chiefs looks enticing especially knowing that the Chiefs already suck and will be without their only offensive weapon Larry Johnson due to a suspension. Jets -6 in a teaser card should work out beautifully. My Eagles are a 9-point favorite at home. I like Vegas’s confidence in the Birds, but don’t take the Falcons lightly. They aren’t 4-2 by accident. They are playing good football and Matt Ryan is looking as good as any QB in the league right now thanks to the explosive Roddy White. Cowboys may have their 3rd straight loss on the radar as Tony Romo will be out and the Bucs are rolling, especially on defense. I like the Panthers -4.5 at home over the Cardinals. When the Panthers are at home, they’re a team to reckon with and the Cardinals …

Entry Link | Digg This! | hype it up! | Bark It Up | Leave a Comment

Broncos/Patriots Monday Night Pick

Posted by in NFL Picks on October 20th, 2008 | Comment »

I like Denver to win outright, so taking the 3 points looks good. I don’t particularly like taking the road team on Monday night, but I like my chances against a QB like Cassel. The Patriots defense hasn’t proven anything all year long, so Denver shouldn’t have a problem scoring points. However, they are without Sheffler and Selvin Young. The stars come out on Monday night (Randy Moss, maybe?) and Bellechik is at home, but if the Dolphins can destroy the Patriots at home, there’s no reason the Broncos can’t. The Pats looked good against the 49ers, but let’s be serious, who doesn’t look good against the 49ers. They got killed by the Chargers the next week.

I’ll go with Broncos +3 tonight, but I’m not personally taking the game. I also will never bet on or against the Broncos again. I don’t like the teaser w/ the over because the over or under could hit. You could tease it Denver +10 and Over 41 or Under 55 and be in good shape, but that’s your call. Conventional wisdom says Monday Night and OVER is the way to go.

Check the injury report too. Denver is without Selvin Young and Tony Scheffler, two important pieces of that Broncos offense. The good news is that Eddie Royal, who was questionable, is going to give it a go.

Prediction – Broncos 24 – Patriots 20

Cutler messes up his throwing hand on the first drive, Broncos cough up the ball 3 times, Pats turn it into 20-0 at the half. That’s why I don’t bet on the Broncos. And if I would have said take the Pats, Cutler’s throwing hand would be perfect and he ends up passing all over the

Entry Link | Digg This! | hype it up! | Bark It Up | Leave a Comment

Vegas’s NFL Week 7 8-Team Teaser

Posted by in NFL Picks on October 19th, 2008 | Comment »

I’m going to try to hit an 8-team teaser this week. I’m just going to play 2 units, but it pays 10:1. Here’s the card:

Browns +14.5 over Redskins – Browns offense has their mojo back and their defense is looking solid to boot. I think they have their confidence back up and getting 2 TDs makes it comfortable.  Got the cover.

Jets +4 over Raiders – The Raiders are very bad and the Jets are headed in the right direction on both sides of the ball.  Got the cover.

Texans -2.5 over Lions – Texans at home vs. an awful Lions team. Calvin Johnson is questionable. If he’s out, you can lock this one up. Even if he plays, the Lions don’t have the O-line or QB to throw to him. Got the cover.

Saints +10 over Panthers – Saints should be able to hang with the Panthers in a shootout. Saints take 7-3 lead. I like it. Stupid fumble by Shockey leads to Panthers 10-7 lead. I guess I need points for the over, let’s hope Saints will drive back down and score, they’ve been moving the ball well. Panthers up 13-7 at the half. Saints get ball to start 2nd half. Reggie leaves game with knee injury. Saints down 20-7, that’s not good. Great, Drew Brees INT to set the Panthers up in the redzone. Bad news just gets worse. Saints take it to the 3 but come up short on 4th down. They had a chance to get back in there, but no dice. And that’s all she wrote. The Saints let me down and it came down to 3 things: Shockey’s fumble (led to 7 points), Brees’ INT (led to 7 points), and Reggie

Entry Link | Digg This! | hype it up! | Bark It Up | Leave a Comment

NFL Week 7 Predictions and Picks Against the Spread

Posted by in NFL Picks on October 15th, 2008 | Comment »

NFL WEEK 7 SPREADS SUMMARY:

Here is my 2 cents on the games this week. I like the Steelers -10 since Palmer will be out for Cincy. The Bears at home might be a good play over the Vikings. I like the teaser of Saints +10 over the Panthers and over 37.5. That one should see lots of points and the Saints should keep it close even if they drop the game to a Panthers team that seems to roll offensively at home. Jets -3 is good if you want to look for a low spread to take, but they’re on the road, which is always a concern. I like Houston -8.5 over the Lions since the Lions are garbage, especially on the road. I think the Browns should cover the 7 if they can play the same football they played on Monday, but being on the road on a short week against a team wanting to bounce back from last week’s huge upset via the Rams doesn’t look promising for them. 10.5 is too much for the Giants to give up based on the Browns and Bengals games, but a Seahawks-style whooping isn’t out of question. I’d still take the 10.5 in that one, but you also have to factor in the West Coast team playing on the East Coast, which has been huge deal this year (the West Coast teams are 0-11 this year).

Personally, I’m not betting on the games this week since the NFL season has been ridiculous this season. I’ll see how this week goes to see if my mojo is back. Additionally, I realized I have a future on the Phillies to win the World Series. I put $10 on them when the odds …

Entry Link | Digg This! | hype it up! | Bark It Up | Leave a Comment

Message To Our Readers

Posted by in NFL Picks on October 13th, 2008 | Comment »

First off, I apologize for letting those down who have followed my picks. The last two weeks haven’t went so well for my picks. Due to the cold streak, I will no longer be betting on the NFL, or any sports for that matter, for the time being. Betting on sports is a crap shoot. I always figured that not only do you have a 50/50 shot, but you have the benefit of using statistics and knowledge of the teams in order to make an informed decision. I always thought that past results were the best indication of future performance, and that’s what makes sports betting so misleading. The fact of the matter is that what a team has done in their past 5 games has no bearing on what will occur in the current game. The bottom line is that it’s 0-0 at the beginning of the game with 60 minutes to play and there’s no way of telling what may happen. No handicapper can plan for every contingency in a game. You’ve heard all the cliches: any given Sunday, it’s a game of inches, the disparity between teams in the NFL is so small, more games in the NFL are lost than won. Really, most games are decided by 1 or 2 plays: a crucial third down conversion, a turnover, a poor referee call for roughing the passer on 3rd down when they got a stop to bring up 4th down.

I was shocked by some of the outcomes last week. If you told me the Rams would upset the Redskins, I would have laughed in your face. The Redskins, who are in the top 5 of the power rankings, at home against the 2nd worst team in …

Entry Link | Digg This! | hype it up! | Bark It Up | Leave a Comment

NFL Week 6 Picks and Predictions Against the Spread

Posted by in NFL Picks on October 8th, 2008 | 1 Comment

The following will be updated and amended accordingly throughout the week, so stay tuned.

OAKLAND RAIDERS @ NEW ORLEANS SAINTS -8

My first impression was that the Saints will win, but won’t cover. They’re coming of a demoralizing loss where some flaws have been exposed. The Raiders are coming off the bye week. JaMarcus Russell has been playing well. The last time the Raiders were on the road, they nearly beat the Buffalo Bills. I have my doubts about the Saints after Monday Night, but this could be a statement game for the Saints. Their defensive woes and offensive miscues may continue, which could be more likely since the Raiders are good at getting pressure on the QB. They have 12 sacks on the year (with 1 less games played than most people), which is ranked 9th. If you add their 3.0 sacks per-game average, they would be 3rd behind the Eagles and Steelers. I guess I’m just looking for ways to avoid the Saints because I wouldn’t want to give up 8 points to any team the way the Saints are losing in close games. On the other hand, I wouldn’t rule out a Saints blowout either. This is just a do not touch game for me.

Prediction — Saints 28 – Raiders 17

Pick Against the Spread: Saints -8 – Confidence 3/5
Pick Straight Up: Saints – Confidence 5/5

BALTIMORE RAVENS @ INDIANAPOLIS COLTS -4.5

There’s no question that the Ravens have the best defense in the league. They’ve given up only 3 TDs in 4 games. That’s ridiculous. The Colts haven’t been overly impressive. They’re 32nd against the run, so McGahee and McClain are completely capable of dominating the time of possession. The Ravens will go out …

Entry Link | Digg This! | hype it up! | Bark It Up | 1 Comment


Facebook Twitter RSS Feed Mobile Football Picks
YAHOO PICK 'EM LEAGUE
League Home Page | Register
League ID: 63470
League Password: thepassrush
Winner gets an NFL Shop Custom T-Shirt
CHAMPIONS:
2009 - Deez Nuts (MN)
2010 - To Be Crowned
2011 - Possibly You
LATEST PASS RUSH COMMENTS
ADVERTISEMENT
FOOTBALL POLL

Who do you think will win the Super Bowl?

View Results

Loading ... Loading ...

  NFL Rumors & News >




Powered by Zadling | Terms of Service | Privacy Policy