NFL Week 15 Reaction, Tonight’s Play

It was a tight week in the NFL.   Every single game was close.  No matter which team you took, you didn’t know who was going to cover and who wasn’t until all 60 minutes were off the clock.

Almost every game had you on the edge of your seat except SD/KC.  The 2-11 Chiefs managed to be the play to make as the Chargers -6 wasn’t going to happen right after Rivers’ pass was picked for a TD.

The Titans are keeping it close in Houston, but they’re not going to win this one in a field-goal kicking contest, they need TDs.  Even the Lions gave the Colts a game as the game is tied at 21 going into the 4th quarter.

Note To Self: Draft Andre Johnson next year in the 3rd round next season.  207 yards and a TD in this one!

I really liked the Packers pick, but I couldn’t have anticipated Dennis Northcut exploding for 127 yards and a TD.  Packers have 1:52 to win this one after a Jaguars TD pulls them ahead 20-16.  No dice.  Packers fall.

HOU/TEN UPDATE: Jeff Fisher goes deep on 4th and 3 when they’re down 13-12 and they could have had a 49-yard FG attempt to take the lead with 2:00 minutes.  Bironas is 4/4 today and is good from about 60 and this one is indoors.  I don’t get that move.

NE/OAK: The Pats tooks care of business and are beating up on the Raiders.   They’re up 42-14 and they’re in the middle of the third quarter.

I took a hit on the Packers and Titans, but New England helped me out big time.

TONIGHTS PICK: I want the Giants to win, so the Eagles can jump the Cowboys in the standings.  I’m hoping that the Giants win, but they’re without Brandon Jacobs, but they have two other backs to carry the load.  The loss of Burress hurt them last week, but that’s usually not the case.  They can win without him.  Dallas has the advantage at home, but there’s controversy in Big D with Romo, Witten, and Owens.  How does that affect them tonight?  You decide.  This one can go either way, you’re better off flipping a coin.  I’ll pass on the spread.

I liked the under 47 in this one at first, but I’m having second thoughts.  11/16 experts like the over, but I think 47 is high: I think this one is more likely to end 27-20 or 24-23 and under than hit over 48.  Both defenses have been playing outstanding.  Both have averaged 17 points allowed in their last 3 games.  However, both teams are averaging 28 PPG for their respective home/away stats.  This is capable of being one of those high scoring games, but I think the final score will be low tonight and I think the 47 is high.  I’m expecting both defenses to step up for their teams.  These teams last two have all hit the under, but you also have to factor in the cold weather.  I’ll think this one out a bit.  The over may hit in the last couple minutes of the game, but this one should play out to favor the under 47.

If the Cowboys don’t let the petty bickering get to them, they should win this one at home, but if they let it affect them, the Giants will pull it out in a low-scoring defensive battle.

I wouldn’t suggest taking the spread, but take a look at the under 47 tonight.  The one thing that’s holding me back is these NYG/DAL games are usually high scoring.  The last 3/4 have hit the over.