Tonight’s Monday Night Play: No Action
Posted by Vegas Martin in NFL Picks on September 20th, 2010 | Comment »It was a hell of a week for us here at THE PASS RUSH. We produced Thursday Night and Friday Night winners, we had a plethora of hits on Saturday (I was 3-0 in Alabama, Nebraska, and Arizona; Brandon’s big play in play in Boise State hit, and more), my two big plays on Sunday hit in Green Bay and Atlanta, Joey G and the Kid hit the majority of over/under plays.
The only place where I ended up getting careless was not following my own advice and betting against the home dog, throwing Patriots (+4) into my 4-team teaser which the first three hit on. I thought the 2007 Patriots were back. I thought wrong. Since I was up big on the day, I decided to throw a little something on Sunday Night game. Thought the Giants could keep it close with the run game so I favored the points which I teased to +11 and paired with the over 41. I should have known better with the Colts being at home, but with their run D, I didn’t want to be left exposed at Colts (-5.5) and I thought the Giants would be like sharks who smelt blood in the water against a poor run defense. I’m not going to beat myself over a pick I gave a 1/5 rating on though.
Last week only reinforced the lesson that you don’t bet against home dogs. Home dogs who covered last week included the Jets, Bengals, and Lions. 3 home dogs, 3 winners with the spread (2 won outright). Washington (+3) was also looking golden and ended up pushing thanks to a 4th-quarter comeback by the Texans. Tonight we find ourselves in a similar predicament. The 49ers host the Monday Night Football game against the Saints as 6-point underdogs. If the trend is your friend, then anticipate the 49ers covering. However, I’m not going to risk taking the 49ers after what we saw last week from them. Their secondary was atrocious and now has to face Drew Brees. In the pick ’em league, I’m sticking with the Saints (-5.5). However, home underdog on Monday Night is all that needs to be said to avoid putting money on the the line with the Saints. That’s why Brandon Lang is picking the 49ers (+6).
Tonight’s Play: Sorry guys, no action. We’ll wait for a spread we like next week.
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