Saturday Night Winner: Play on Nevada

Nevada Wolf Pack @ UNLV Rebels

I really like Nevada tonight. They’ve opened up to a perfect start not only their first four games but also going a perfect 3-0 ATS thus far. Their offense has been dominating averaging 44.8 points per game. Quarterback Colin Kaepernick has had a great start to the season and takes really good care of the ball, which is giving the Wolf Pack 242 pass yards per game.

Look for Nevada to keep the ball on the ground tonight.

Nevada has had a couple impressive back to back wins cruising to an easy victory against Cal in week three, then handling BYU 27-13 in week four. Last year Nevada smashed the Rebels 63-28 as only 6.5 point favorites.

UNLV, on the other hand, has only one win under their belt. They snapped their three game losing streak to open the year, beating New Mexico 45-10 last week. Their 45 points last week actually was more than the amount of points they scored in the first three weeks combined.

Look for Nevada to pound the ball on the ground this game. UNLV is allowing 161 running yards per game. Last year, that’s exactly how Nevada took it to them. The Wolf Pack accumulated 559 yards on the ground last season. If Nevada can keep racking up yards, look for an easy cover.

Trends:

• Nevada is 7-0 ATS in their last seven after a win.
• Nevada is 4-0 ATS in their last four road games.
• Nevada is 4-1 in their last five non-conference games.
• Nevada is 7-2 in their last nine games overall.
• Nevada is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings between these two teams.
• UNLV is 0-6 in their last six against a team with a winning record.

Play on Nevada (-20.5)