College Picks Against the Spread & Over/Under Special

I apologize to my FF, Faithful Followers, for the split in the NC State FSU game. There should have been multiple extra scores in the game, but hey that’s the game of football. Today I have done a lot of researching and a few things have caught my eye. Saturday will be the day of the OVER.

1.) Tennessee Over 49

– I like the over in this game. That is all to be said for this one.

2.)Florida Over 47.5

-I like the over in this game because of a few different statistics: Florida’s games have gone over 10 out of the last 11 times after allowing 200 yards rushing their past game, they are 4-1 after allowing 20 points or less in their previous game, 4-1 after an ATS loss, and the Gators games go over in 8 of their last 10 games at neutral sites. Georgia’s games have gone over in 5 or their last 6 games as favorites, and the over is 4-1 in their last 5 games while playing in October. (courtesy of covers.com).

3.) Iowa Over 50.5

-Iowa’s defense is built for more interior play. They are still, for the most part, a traditional smash mouth football type of team that the Big 10 has lost sight of. Iowa did hold Michigan’s spread attack to minimal points, but with Denard and the Wolverines being inside the red zone of the Hawkeyes  while turning the ball over proves to me that a more open type of offensive attack could do the Iowa defense in. Now don’t get me wrong I’m not saying that either of these teams aren’t strong defensive teams, but I’m just going by stats and trends. Michigan State’s games have gone over when (and stats): 12-4 over when they were road dogs of 3.5-10 points, 19-7-1 over when they were 3.5-10 point dogs in general, and 5-2 over when they played their last 7 conference games. Iowa’s games have gone over when: they are home favorites of 3.5-10 points 9-2, when they are favorites in general 4-1.

4.) Oregon State Over 53.5

– Oregon State’s last 8 games have gone over the projected lines by Vegas. Oregon State’s games have gone over when they play at home 4 of last 4, when they play as home favorites 4 of last 4, when they play conference opponents 4 of last 4 and when they face a team with a winning record 4 of last 4. Six of the Cal Bear’s last eight games have gone over.

5.) Baylor +7.5

– I may have some bias in this pick with me doubting any talent on the team of the Longhorns, but I believe Baylor has the makings to beat this spread. The extra half point here is huge a touchdown game is a winner. Baylor is 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings in Texas and the road team is 9-3 in their last 12 games. I believe the Bears will shut down the Texas offense early and often in this game. If Baylor can silence the Longhorn crowd this game has the potential to even become an out right winner.

6.) Clemson Under 41.5 – Bonus

– This line caught my eye with is being so low. I don’t know about any of you this year, but when I look at low 40 spreads for college football I think under immediately, but most have gone over their scheduled total. This is why I have made this my bonus play of the day. Play it if you’re needing another pick. The game has potential to go under with Boston College’s last 9 of 13 regular season games going under and 4 of the last 5 games going under for Clemson. There you have it the bonus play of the week enjoy!