Are You Popping Bottles Yet?
Posted by Vegas Martin in NFL General on September 19th, 2010 | Comment »Today is looking good my friends. My top two 1:00 picks of Atlanta (-6.5) and Green Bay (-13) were right on point. Eagles (-4.5 or -6) was about to hit with a 35-24 lead until DET scored a TD in last two minutes and made it 35-32 with 2-pt conversion — good thing I don’t bet on my own team outright, but put them in my teaser card at (+0.5). Lions recover onsides kick. Are you serious? Riley Cooper muffs the grab. EAGLES STOP LIONS ON 4TH DOWN. HELL YEAH! WOOOOOOOOOOO!
I then threw the ATL and GB picks into a teaser and paired it with Eagles (+0.5) and that card is alive going into Patriots (-3) @ Jets. I have Pats (+4) as my last pick on that card and I’m even thinking of rolling some winnings from Green Bay and Atlanta into the Pats (-3).
The Kid’s top play of PIT/TEN under hit. They hit with CHI (+7) but missed on CLE (-2) and CAR (-3.5), but nailed CAR/TB Under to go 3-2. I had the Chiefs and I don’t think many people expected CAR to lose at home. CHI (+7) was the call and he was on the right side of that. I was expecting a better performance for DAL’s home opener.
Keep an eye out on the “take the points” special teaser on the next page . . . .
There’s plenty of worry about the Jets upsetting New England. Jets have back-to-back home games, the Jets have had this one on their radar since last year (but so have the Pats), and Vegas may favoring them with the opening line at (-1) before the public pounded that one to Pats (-3). I can’t not like the Pats. Tom Brady is clearly better than Mark Sanchez. Bill Belichik clearly better than Rex Ryan. Pats receivers are better than Jets. Jets D may be a bit better, but Pats D is not far behind. Jets slight advantage in running game and they’re at home.
However, the Pats want to shut up everyone who thinks the Jets are the best team in that division. Tom Brady is the man and Revis has egged on Randy Moss. Randy Moss kicks in into 6th gear whenever he damn well feels like it, which is like 3 or 4 times a year. I think he has a big game and if he doesn’t, Wes Welker will pick up the slack. Pats TE Hernandez is another good target for Brady. LB Pace is out for Jets which is a plus for Brady. Revis also hurt his hammy so he’s only at 95% and not 100%. I’ll take it.
I would not be surprised if the Pats completely roll over the Jets. Pats running game may be shut down, which may make it difficult for them, but if Jets get the best of them, it should be close. This pick is on upset alert. I wouldn’t be shocked with the Jets winning, but like I said, there’s just more in favor of the Pats coming out on top, so that’s who I’m sticking with.
Do you think we’re just “good”?
The best two home teams to take tomorrow are probably Green Bay (-13) over Buffalo and Atlanta (-6.5) over Arizona. Virtually all other games are good opportunities to take the points. I’m taking a chance on a high spread with Green Bay. The Packers should light it up and I don’t see the Bills scoring many points. However, Ryan Grant is out and the Bills have a respectable defense which means there’s always a shot of them covering here. We all know Matt Ryan is ridiculous at home, so I think he can cover the 6.5 at home. They say don’t bet on your own team but I can’t not like the Eagles (-6) over Lions so I threw them in my 2:1 odds teaser. Vick will be playing like his freedom depends on it. I have a 4-team teaser with Green Bay -6, Patriots +4, Eagles +0.5, and Atlanta +0.5. That’s what I’m thinking.
We had a great 1:00 and a great Thursday through Saturday. Let’s not go nuts on this one, but we’ll stick with Pats (-3).
Patriots win 27-13, 27-20 in my humble opinion.
Another 4:00 play: Points Special 7-Point Teaser — Seattle +10.5, Washington +10, Jacksonville +14.
We’re Poppin Bottles
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