Packers vs. Cowboys Prediction and Pick Against the Spread

Strong day here as I hit 2 out of 3 on my card.  I played the Saints -6.5, Patriots -4, and Texans +10/Over 42.5. The Saints were my top play and since everyone loved the Pats, I took that one too. Like I mentioned in the write up, you know the traps (home dog off the bye week) and I got trapped into that one. I’m still coming out on top and looking for a final hit in the night game.

DALLAS COWBOYS @ GREEN BAY PACKERS (-7)

The 1-6 Cowboys (I love saying that) are playing the Packers (5-3) in Green Bay tonight. The Cowboys got waxed by the Jaguars last week at home 35-17. They have a lot of issues in their secondary as Garrard passed for 260 yards and 4 TDs with a rushing touchdown to boot. Sims-Walker had 10 receptions for 153 yards. Kitna was forced to drop back 49 times and despite putting up over 350 yards, he threw 4 INTs (two due to balls that bounced off the wide receiver’s hands). It’s safe to say the Cowboys morale is at an all time low.

The Packers are coming back home with a lot of momentum after topping the Jets 9-0 thanks to a stout defensive effort. Despite all the injuries to their defense, they were able to get it done. I clearly like the Packers here. At home on Sunday Night against a team that is struggling on defense giving up 26.7 PPG. What’s not to love? Clay Matthews should harass Jon Kitna all game long and force him into bad decisions. Packers are 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 against a team with a losing record and 5-2-1 in their last 8 home games. The Cowboys have not only lost 4 straight games, but they haven’t covered the spread either.

Packers is my play tonight. Weather shouldn’t be a factor. No elements, mild wind, and temperature in the 40’s.

Prediction: Packers 27 – Cowboys 16

Pick Against the Spread: Packers -7 (Confidence 3/5)