NFL Week 12 Picks Against the Spread

Hope everyone had a Happy Thanksgiving. We built up our bank role going 2-1 ATS with our Thanksgiving special thanks to the Packers and Ravens. Here are some quick picks for Sunday. My favorite plays are the Steelers and Panthers and I’ll throw in mediocre picks on the Falcons and Bengals. The spreads are a bit too high to make those quality plays, so you may want to tease them together instead.

MINNESOTA VIKINGS @ ATLANTA FALCONS (-9.5) 

I love taking the Falcons at home. With Adrian Peterson out, the Vikings offense will struggle to get going while the Falcons should cruise to an easy victory. This is also a good candidate to tease with another game such as the Steelers over the Chiefs or Bengals over the Browns.

Prediction: Falcons 27 – Vikings 17

Pick Against the Spread: Falcons -9.5 (Confidence: 3/5)

CLEVELAND BROWNS @ CINCINNATI BENGALS (-7)

I’m loving the Bengals this year. A.J. Green will be back this week. The Bengals beat the Browns earlier this season 27-17 on the road and I expect a similar outcome.

Prediction: Bengals 24 – Browns 13

Pick Against the Spread: Bengals -7 (Confidence: 3/5)

CAROLINA PANTHERS (-3.5) @ INDIANAPOLIS COLTS

Cam Newton is due for a win. His defense has been the teams Achilles heal though. Hopefully his defense doesn’t let him down again. Points will be easy to come by for the Panthers against one of the worst teams against the run. With the Colts offensive woes, I don’t think the Panthers have to worry about getting outscored here. The Panthers should dominate this game.

Prediction: Panthers 31 – Colts 13

Pick Against the Spread: Panthers -3.5 (Confidence: 4/5)

PITTSBURGH STEELERS (-10.5) @ KANSAS CITY CHIEFS

We saw how one-sided the Chiefs vs. Patriots game was. The Chiefs offense mustered a mere 3 points and the Patriots defense isn’t very good. The Steelers should completely shut down the Chiefs and they should score no more than 10 points. The only problem is that the Steelers will pound the football and won’t run up the score like the Patriots, so I’m not expecting much more than 20-24 points from the Steelers offense, but I’m counting on the Steelers defense to completely shut down the Chiefs.

Prediction: Steelers 24 – Chiefs 3

Pick Against the Spread: Steelers -10.5 (Confidence: 4/5)