Week 11 – Picks Against the Spread (2012)

Had to do some quick picks this week. Here we go.

BUFFALO BILLS (-2) over Miami Dolphins — Have to go Bills at home. Miami didn’t look too good against the Colts. Reggie Bush was benched and Tannehill struggled.

ATLANTA FALCONS (-10) over Arizona Cardinals — Too many points for me to bite on it, but the Cardinals won’t have the offense so I’ll favor the dirty birds. Teasing Falcons (-3) to pair with another game looks like a strong choice.

Cleveland Browns (+8) over DALLAS COWBOYS — Expect Dallas to win, but the Browns will put up a fight and I think they land a backdoor cover in garbage time.

Green Bay Packers (-3.5) over DETROIT LIONS — Packers dominate this matchup.

CINCINNATI BENGALS (-3.5) over Kansas City Chiefs — Bengals looked strong at home against the Giants last week. That should continue this week against the Chiefs.

ST. LOUIS RAMS (-3.5) over New York Jets — The Jets are imploding. The Rams nearly beat the 49ers on the road last week and they’ve been strong at home.

WASHINGTON REDSKINS (-3.5) over Philadelphia Eagles — I’m picking against my Eagles again because they suck and find every way possible to lose games. FIRE ANDY REID!

Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-1.5) over CAROLINA PANTHERS — I’ve been thoroughly impressed with the way the Bucs have been playing over the last 5 weeks. The Panthers just don’t have it together.

HOUSTON TEXANS (-15.5) over Jacksonville Jaguars — LOL at the spread, but this should be blowout city.

New Orleans Saints (-5) over OAKLAND RAIDERS — Raiders got rocked by the Ravens because they’re a one-dimensional team with Run DMC and Mike Goodson both out. The Saints should rock the Raiders this week and we’ll soon be talking about the Saints playoff push for a wild card. I really like this spread.

San Diego Chargers (+7.5) over DENVER BRONCOS — The Broncos have been awesome at home, but the Chargers aren’t scrubs. This is a division game. The Chargers are a competitive team and should keep this one close. The Chargers will be out for revenge after blowing something like a 24-0 lead at home the last time they played. Manning had an epic 2nd half comeback. I expect the Broncos to win by 3-7.

NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS (-9.5) over Indianapolis Colts — I love the Patriots (-2.5) in a teaser with Falcons (-3) with both at home over weak opponents, but I’ll shy away from the spread. The Colts should put up a fight like the Bills did last week when the Pats won 37-31.

BALTIMORE RAVENS (-3.5) over Pittsburgh Steelers — If Big Ben are Polamalu are out, I really like the Ravens here. Polamulu may be back which is a huge boost to the Steelers defense.

SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS (-5) over Chicago Bears — This one is the coin toss. I was going to go Bears, but they’ll be without Jay Cutler. The Bears couldn’t run against Houston last week, which will be a problem against the 49ers. Alex Smith could be back for the 49ers. No over/under is released on this one yet, but I would take the under 37. This game could end 10-3 unless turnovers and special teams contribute to additional touchdowns.