NFL Week 4 Predictions and Picks Against the Spread

Solid week last week hitting my top play in the Seahawks minus anything over the Jags. I gave up a little by taking a hit on the Vikings, who I thought would stomp the Browns, but the Browns pulled out every stop in the book (fake punts, fake field goals, etc.) in order to get the win. I then hit back-to-back winners on Sunday and Monday night to cap it off thanks to the Bears and Broncos. I am headed to New Orleans this weekend for a bachelor party so the picks get cut short this week.

ST. LOUIS RAMS (+3.5) over San Francisco 49ers — Rams play the 49ers tough, beating them in St. Louis last year and tying them in San Fran. Have to go with the home dog on the short week.

Pittsburgh Steelers (-2.5) over Minnesota Vikings — This one will be in England so I would just stay away.  I have no confidence in either team, but would lean Steelers who are more deserving of a win.

Baltimore Ravens (-3) over BUFFALO BILLS — The Ravens have had two nice games following their loss to the Broncos. Although the Bills are a team on the rise, the Ravens have shown that their defense still has plenty of gas left in its tank.

Indianapolis Colts (-9.5) over JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS — I love pounding the Jaguars and I think this is another opportunity to take it to the NFL’s worst team.

Cincinnati Bengals (-4.5) over CLEVELAND BROWNS — We have our fourth straight home dog, which indicates another wild week in the NFL, but I’m not convinced in the Browns just yet. They pulled out all the stops last week and they’ll run out of their bag of tricks. The Bengals D should shut them down, while the offense takes care of business. I think the Browns keep it close for most of the game, but the Bengals ultimately win by 10.

Seattle Seahawks (-3) over HOUSTON TEXANS — Ouch, a fifth home dog. The Texans have been subpar this year. The Seahawks should continue to roll, but they’re definitely not a great road team in comparison to their home dominance.

TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS (-2.5) over Arizona Cardinals — Bucs are due for a win right? They almost beat the Saints at home, you would think they could take care of the Cards.

Chicago Bears (+2.5) over DETROIT LIONS — I’m in love with the Bears this year. They look like a good team to ride as their defense is dominant and their offense has taken a major step forward. I’m expecting a 12-4 season from the Bears.

KANSAS CITY CHIEFS (-5) over New York Giants — The Giants are in shambles while the Chiefs are surging. Ride the Chiefs as Arrowhead is an incredibly tough place to win an the Chiefs benefit from added rest by playing this past Thursday. Giants are eyeing up an 0-4 start.

TENNESSEE TITANS (-4) over New York Jets — I’m liking Tennessee here.  Beat the Steelers, beat the Chargers, nearly beat the Texans on the road. They’re a solid football team, but the Jets defense keeps it close.

SAN DIEGO CHARGERS (+2) over Dallas Cowboys — I’m forced to pick a few home dogs this week so I’ll take Philip Rivers at home over the Cowgirls.

OAKLAND RAIDERS (+3.5) over Washington Redskins — Redskins have defensive issues and that should be problems against a mobile quarterback like Pyror.  However, he’s questionable so check the injury report before the game.

Philadelphia Eagles (+11.5) over DENVER BRONCOS — The Eagles are my team and were an embarrassment last week. They have the offense to keep up with the Broncos when spotted 11.5. Raiders nearly covered 14.5, Eagles should have it in them to cover at least 11.5.

ATLANTA FALCONS (-2.5) over New England Patriots — Have to go Hotlanta Falcons at home.

Miami Dolphins (+6.5) over NEW ORLEANS SAINTS — I’m a believer in the Dolphins this year and I may end up looking stupid for picking them in this spot, but they have the talent on defense to give Drew Brees fits in this one.