Author Archive

Clemson vs Georgia Tech (-5)

Simply not convinced Clemson is ready to play this caliber of a team yet. Clemson looked great on the highlight reel last weekend with their win over Middle Tennessee State, but those highlights came primarily from special teams, which helped give them their double digit win. That won’t happen tonight. Clemson did put up 300 plus yards of total offense, but against who, NOBODY, their QB also threw a couple INTs against a very weak defense. While GT also played a nobody last week, they easily moved the ball and their offense looked very solid. Both teams return several starters on both sides of the ball, but I still give the advantage in that category to GT. While I wouldn’t make this your play of the year, I do believe GT has a considerable edge in talent and are just a better team at this point in the early college season.…

There is a critical bowl game today that should be a good indicator of how strong or weak the Big 10 really is this year. With Northwestern playing very strongly against Missouri and covering easily the Big 10 could be a good play throughout the rest of the bowl games, as most are getting plenty of points. Minnesota a +7 to +9 point underdog, depending on where you make the bet, with a solid showing could give bettors a reason to take the points with the Big 10 throughout the rest of the bowl games, even though I have initially thought the Big 10 teams where clearly outmatched in all of their games. If you are looking for a small play I would take the over the in the Minnesota/Kansas game at 58. Minnesota stuggled down the stretch losing their last four giving up an average of over 40 points. Kansas went 2-2 over their final four giving up an average of 40 per as well. If Minnesota does play well today and cover or win, you may want to rethink most experts opinion that the Big 10 is weak.

Plays for Today:

1. Minnesota/Kansas over 58

2. Boston College -6 v. Vanderbilt

3. LSU v. Georgia Tech -4

Good Luck.…

With this being the final Sunday for NFL Regular Season football I thought I should give out some rock solid winners so you guys can pad your bankrolls before the playoffs.

1. Oakland/Tampa Bay OVER 39.5 (Rating +5)

2. Tennessee/Indianapolis OVER 39 (Rating +4)

3. Chicago/Houston  UNDER 46.5 (Rating +4)

4. Seattle (+6.5) at Phoenix (Rating +3)

5. Miami (+3) at New York Jets (Rating +3)

College Play for Sunday:

1. Northern Illinois (+1.5) vs. Louisiana Tech

Good Luck!…

Boise State let me down late as they could not stop TCU down the stretch, however if you took the points then you had an easy cover.

I made two bets before I left Vegas on bowl games and Central Michigan was one of them.  I was able to get the line at -6.5, but it is now at -7. There is definetly some home field advantage here as CMU is bringing tons of fans, while FAU is only bringing about 1500. CMU has played in the Motor City Bowl for the last 2 years and have played well in both. FAU has been poor on the road this year going 2-5 SU and 3-4 ATS. Another factor is that at least two starters on defense for FAU are either out or suspended for the game and one other back-up is out as well. That puts in even more stress on a weak defense that will have its hands full trying to slow down that high powered CMU offense. CMU dropped the last two games of the year, but I don’t think that is as big a deal as many think. CMU lost to a red hot Ball State team, but played very tough and the game wasn’t decided until the last few minutes. Their other loss came to Eastern Michigan, but many times after a tough loss and with a game that is virtually meaningless you will see a team have a big let down and lose. Therefore, both of those losses can easily be explained. Tonight will be different. This is Dan LeFevour’s last game and he is going to go out in style. He should easily light up this weak FAU defense. While CMU’s defense is nothing …

Sorry I haven’t posted in a while guys, I was in Vegas. Had a pretty successful trip as I hit a video poker machine with 4 Aces and a kicker which paid $2000. Anyways it is back to reality and we have a bunch of bowl games to analyze.

TCU v. Boise State (+3):

Without a doubt the public is all over TCU, with 57% of the money on the spread going on TCU. I just don’t understand why. TCU has the better defense, but I just don’t believe they are that different: TCU’s D only allows 166 passing yards and under 50 yards rushing. However BSU’s D allows 189 passing and 105 rushing, which is also rock solid. Both of TCU’s losses have come on the road against Oklahoma and Utah. The key for me here is that Oklahoma loss. BSU’s offense is very similar to Oklahoma and I believe BSU will exploit TCU’s weakness in the secondary. I think BSU’s can beat them deep and score at will. I am calling it now, BSU in a route. I have already played this game on the money line. So take the points if you feel the need, but I just see BSU playing an overall better game and with a chip on their shoulder after getting snubbed from a major bowl game.

The Play: Boise State moneyline (+130)…

1. San Fran v Miami under 41.5: over the last three these teams are both are scoring less than 20 points per game and giving up less than twenty. both have gone under the posted in their last two.

2. San Diego at KC (+6): KC is rolling right now in the cover department. They have covered 5 of 7 and their last two as they had the potential to pull the upset last week at Denver. Plus you can factor in the west to east coast 1:00 game that has killed the west coast teams and weather may be a factor as it should be pretty cold which I don’t believe will favor SD.

3. Green Bay v Jacksonville under 46

4. Tennessee v Houston (+3)

5. Tennessee v Houston over 45

6. Denver at Carolina (-7.5)

Good Luck .…

College football was great this week as I went 9-4 with the streak.

Let’s carry that streak through to Sunday.

1. Philadelphia at NY Giants (-6.5): how can you go against a team playing this well? I can’t.

2. Minnesota at Detroit over 45.5

3. Kansas City (+9) at Denver

4. Miami at Buffalo under 42

Good Luck!…