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Last weekend we had some really nice plays going 5-3-1. Importantly, 3 out of 4 of our second week bets won, with the other game going as a push. Even with a limited number of games this weekend there are still several games that fit the system.

Bet $38.50 on the following:

1. Alabama vs. Florida (-9) Fl 31 Ala 20 WIN

2. Boston College (-1) at Virgina Tech VT 30 BC 12 loss

Bet $27.50 on the following:

1. Middle Tennesse State (+5) vs. UL Lafayette UL 42 MTSt 28 loss

2. Louisville at Rutgers (-10) Louisville has really struggled on the road this year and Rutgers has turned what looked to be a bad year into another winning season. Rutgers defense is much better than Louisville. Louisville has allowed over 30 points on the road while Rutgers is holding teams to 16. Lay the points here with Rutgers.  RUTGERS 63 LOU 14 WIN

3. Buffalo at Ball State (-15) BUFF 42 BSU 24 loss

4. Navy at Army Under 44.5 NAVY 34 ARMY 0 WIN

5. Washington at California (-35)  CAL 48 WASH 7 WIN

6. USC at UCLA Under 47.5 USC 28 UCLA 7 WIN

7. Arkansas State at Troy (-11) TROY 35 AkSt. 9 WIN

8. Missouri at Oklahoma (-17) I know that Missouri can score and score in bunches on just about anyone, but OK will be ready for them. OK cannot leave any doubts if they want to play in the National Title game. Look for OK to throw the ball a lot and do everything possible to make this a blowout. OK 62 MIZZ 21WIN

9. Missouri at Oklahoma Over 79 TOTAL 83 WIN

10. Arizona State (+11) at Arizona AZ 31 ASU …

Well we had some good wins last week and few that were very disappointing, but remember the goal is to find a long winning streak. This week we will play all the teams that won and/or covered from last week and add a few more games. If you follow the wagering amount I outlined last week you would be wagering $38.50 to win $35 on all the following games:

1. Mississippi State at Mississippi (-14) MIS 45 MISS ST 0 WIN

2. Miami at NC State (+1.5) NCST 38 MIA 28 WIN

3. UAB (+9) at Central Florida UAB 15 UCF 0 WIN

4. Maryland at Boston College (-7) BC 28 MARY 21 PUSH

and Bet $27.50 for the following:

5. Florida (-16) at Florida State UF 45 FSU 15 WIN

6. UTEP (+5.5) at ECU ECU 53 UTEP 21 LOSS

7. Kent State at Buffalo (-9.5) KST 24 BUFF 21 LOSS

8. Syracuse at Cincinnati (-22) CIN 30 SYR 10 LOSS

9. South Carolina at Clemson (-1.5) CLEM 31 SC 14 WIN …

I am always working on coming up with a way to win without having to do countless hours of research. One thing I have learned about gambliing is never bet against a streak. When I go play blackjack I use a progressive method meaning that when I win one hand I increase my bet and continue to do so as long as the streak continues. I don’t double up but lets say I bet $15 and continue to win the progession would continue something like $20, $25, $35, $45, $60, $75 and so on. For me, this has worked out pretty well. The downfall is that you have to win at least two hands in a row to break even, after that it is all profit. For a while I have been trying to figure out a way to logically apply this to sports. So I came up with the idea that if a team has covered or not covered in at least two games in a row I will start betting with them or against them depending on whether they have covered or lost. A few exceptions apply, only bet with the streak as long as the team they are playing against is not on a streak as well. A couple of streaks that have happened this year in football. The Tennessee Titans have covered 9 of 10 with one push. So if we would have started betting with them after their second cover our bets would have looked like this:

1. Bet $27.50 to win $25 total profit $25

2. Bet $38.50 to win $35 total profit $60

3. Bet $55 to win $50 total profit $110

4. Bet $71.50 to win $65 total profit $175

5. Bet …

Warning: There are very few games that fit the system this week and from my research over the past five years week 12 and on, underdogs begin to struggle. There are just a few games I am posting, but none of these plays are very strong. I will also be posting my own plays that I feel are very strong.

Underdog Plays:

1. Utah and San Diego State (+29): I know that SDS’s record is terrible, but they have a decent chance of covering this spread. Utah is coming off two very difficult games in which they have struggled to score and probably should have lost both games. This is also a spot where Utah could be easily looking ahead to their big game verse BYU in two weeks. That game will determine whether Utah gets that BCS bid. Looking at the stats it is clear SDS plays much better at home scoring 29 points per and almost 400 yards of total offense, which is somewhat better than Utah’s stats on the road. The primary weak spot for SDS is their defense. They have simply been terrible giving up 29 points per at home over 35 on the road. Utah will easily win this game, but they may not be at their best considering it is a good spot for a let down off their big win last week and their big game in two weeks. (Rating +1)

2. BYU at Air Force (+5.5): I am a little surprised by this line, I thought it would be closer to 8 or 9. This is obviously AF’s biggest game of the year and they have played pretty well so far this year. One of the keys to this game will be …

Notes: I will give an analysis of the games later tonight, but I wanted to get these posts out sooner rather than later.

1.Ohio State at Northwestern (+10.5): (Rating +1)

2. Southern Mississippi at Central Florida (+3): (Rating +1)

3. Arizona State at Washington (+14.5): (Rating +2)

4. New Mexico at UNLV (+4.5):(Rating +3)

5. Oregon State at UCLA (+8): (Rating +3)…

First off, if you are interested in this game and you have multiple online betting accounts you will want to check for the best line as I have seen this line anywhere from 8 to 10. As I said earlier, I have been watching Ball State closely for th past couple of years and making money off them. However, I think this is a great spot to play against BSU. Both of these teams have been great ATS this year (NIU 5-2 BSU 6-1). On the road, NIU is a perfect 4-0 ATS. Overall NIU’s defense on the road has been better than BSU’s defense at home. Both teams defenses have been excellent as of late holding appoints to less than 12 points per game. This is also likely the best defense BSU has played all year long and I am sure NIU has little extra to play for as BSU is ranked in the top 25 and this is an important conference match-up. NIU definetly has a chance to win this game and remember over this year how many upsets we have seen during mid-week games. Take the points with NIU.  (Rating +3)…

Underdog plays came through again with another solid week.

Week 10: Record 4-2

Overall Record 31-21 (60%)

Week 10 Units of Profit +6

Overall Units of Profit +8…