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The underdogs came back this weekend with 3 strong performances. This puts us slightly over 60% winning percentage. Hopefully we can continue this run throughout the rest of the season. My 12 team parlay hit 8 teams, did anyone make any money on a parlay based on those picks, let me know?

Underdog Plays: 3-1

Units of Profit this week: +6 units

Year underdog totals: 25-16

Units of Profit since posting on thepassrush: +1

Remember to check out NHL picks at THE ONETIMER.…

While parlays offer nice payoffs, I always seem to lose one game to keep from that big payday. Well, I have had an ubelievably lucky week so I thought I would throw a crazy 12 team parlay together, no teaser, straight parlay. For $5 this parlay pays an amazing $3000. I have a shot to win it if only based on the fact that I have the ticket and the games haven’t started yet. Wish me luck. Here are the picks:

1. UCONN at Rutgers Scarlet Knights +1: FINAL SCORE RUTGERS 12 UCONN 10

2. Memphis at East Carolina Pirates -8: FINAL SCORE ECU 30 UM 10

3. Virginia Tech at Boston College Eagles -3 BC 28 VT 23

4. Kansas Jayhawks +20 at Oklahoma OK 45 KU 31

5. Mississippi at Alabama Crimson Tide -12 ALA 24 MIS 20

6. USC at Washington State Cougars +42½ USC 69 WSU 0

7. Pittsburgh at Navy Midshipmen +2½ PITT 42 NAVY 21

8. Ohio State at Michigan State Spartans +3 OSU 45 MSU 7

9. North Carolina at Virginia Cavaliers +4½ VIR. 16 UNC 13

10. Toledo at No Illinois Huskies -9½ NIU 38 UT 7

11. Baylor at Oklahoma State Cowboys -17 OSU 34 BU 6 

12. LSU Fighting Tigers -2½ at South Carolina LSU 24 SC 17

Let me know what you think. I think I could easily win 8 or 9, but lets hope for 12.

TOTAL: 8 OUT OF 12, THAT IS A LOSS, BUT PRETTY GOOD ATS. …

While last week was tough on the dogs, they have still won at almost 60% this year. Therefore, I can’t give up on the dogs after one bad week.

1. California at Arizona (+2): Overall this should be one of the best football games of the weekend. Both teams are averaging almost 410 yards of total offense and both teams’ defenses allow less than 300 yards with the slight edge going to the Wildcats. The Wildcats are 3-0 at home, while Cals only loss came on the road against a decent Maryland team. However, there is one stat that makes this game a play, the surface. Arizona’s field surface is grass, while California’s surface is Artifical Turf. Cal is a dismal 3-13 ATS on grass. Cal is also only 2-7 ATS over their last 9, while in that same stretch Arizona is a remarkable 7-2. (Rating +4).

***Side Bet: Above I pointed out that these teams both have very tough defenses, but they also have decent offensive attacks as well. Therefore the Over/Under seems like a potential play because it seems to be set more towards the offenses at 54.5. I will take the under as I believe the Ds will play an important role. (Rating +3)

2. Texas Tech at Texas A&M (+21): If you followed my picks last week I was spot on by taking the points Nebraska was getting on the road at TT. Nebraska lost by 3 in overtime. TT has dominated the spread in this series covering 21 of 28 times. However, TT has only been favored 6 times in the past 29 years, and they have never had to lay this many points, especially on the road. This is a huge in-state rivarly game …

I don’t know if any of you were up at 1:00am on Thursday morning, but I turned it over to NFL Live on ESPN. They rattled off a stat that was pretty schocking: West Coast teams playing the 1:00 Sunday game, on the East Coast are 0-10 this year. The only game that specifically fits that criteria this week is Oakland at New Orleans. NO is a 7 point favorite. I am a little unsure about NO, but I still think they have the ability to win this game even after their tough loss on Monday night. Since NO is a 3-1 favorite to win we need to find an underdog team that has the potential win outright. Based on the recent play of Miami, they will definetly be competitive in the game against the Texans. The Texans are coming off a very tough last second loss to Indianapolis. The Texans are bound to win one game and their record doesn’t reflect the fact that they are actually a decent team, a team that had much higher expectations for this season. Miami is +140 on the money line so they add some value to the parlay. The Texans are going in the wrong direction after that loss and Miami is on a roll right now. So I will take Miami and New Orleans both to win. The parlay pays a little over 2 to 1, which seems like a good value when the Saints seem to be a lock to win.

2 Team Parlay: New Orleans & Miami (Rating +2)

New Orleans won in complete blowout and Miami disappointed after scoring a TD with less than 2 minutes left, but gave up TD in the final seconds of the game. …

For any interested NHL fans, we are posting some free NHL picks and analysis at the following link:

www.theonetimer.com

The hockey season has already begun, but Thursday night will be the first night for games in the US and there is a strong pick already posted for the Bruins/Colorado game. Good Luck.

I also wanted to point out that there is a new poll over in the right column of the page. The question, which contender has faced the most heartache this season? The options: Chargers, Eagles, Saints, or Patriots.

The Broncos one the last poll, which was what team is most likely to win their division.  The options were the Eagles, Browns, Cardinals, Vikings, and Broncos.

Thanks for voting!…

Home-dogs came through again last week running my season total to 21-8, 72%. This week offers up several games, the most of any week so far.

1. Iowa at Indiana (+5): This is a game between two teams that simply cannot get going in the right direction. Iowa has dropped three consecutive games, 2 of the 3 losses coming on the road verse Pittsburgh and Michigan State. However, IU has lost the last three games as well, 2 of the 3 losses coming at home against Ball State and Michigan State. IU has won the last two meetings between these teams. This is a do or die game for both teams. Indiana’s offense has been able to average over 400 yards in total offense per game, while Iowa is just under the 400 yard mark. Indiana does have a balanced attack averaging just about 200 yards rushing and passing. I feel this game will come down to TOs and field position. IU made some bad mistakes early in the game verse MSU that eventually cost them the game. If IU can control the ball and avoid sloppy TOs then this game should be close. (Rating +2) IU had no answers for Iowa offense or defense, clearly a one sided battle. Iowa 45 IU 9

2. TCU at Colorado State (+15): This is clearly a trap game for TCU, if you look ahead on TCU’s schedule you see they only have five days between the game verse CSU and the game verse conference rival BYU, which will likely be a game that determines the conference champion. CSU has been really strong at home, 3-0 SU and 2-0 ATS. CSU is averaging 30 points per game at home compared to their season …

Troy at Florida Atlantic (+3.5): Week 7 opens up with an early home-dog play in the Sun-Belt conference. Troy is a respectable 2-2, while FAU is 1-4. A quick glance at this game would appear to give Troy a considerable edge. However, FAU has played an impressive schedule including games at Texas, at Michigan State, at Minnesota, and a tough last second loss last week at Middle Tenn St. The only win came at home verse UAB 49-34. FAU is only averaging 15 points a game, while Troy is averaging almost 33. FAU has clearly struggled on the road, but most teams will struggle against tough defenses in the Big 12 and Big 10. Troy is coming off two consecutive road games at Ohio State and at Oklahoma State. Troy now must go on the road for a third consecutive time. That is a lot of traveling for any team. With the exception of a poor performance against Minnesota, FAU’s D has been impressive holding Michigan State to only 17 points and Midd Tenn St to 14. FAU is 2-2 ats this year. FAU should benefit by being home for the first time in a while and should be excited to play in a televised game in front of their home crowd. Look for FAU to take advantage of a tired Trojans team that may come out flat. If FAU can jump on them early they should be able to pull off a solid conference win. (Rating +2). While Troy was clearly the better team, FAU made several poor decisions on offense and special teams. Home-dogs cannot win or cover when they make silly TOs and that was simply the downfall of FAU tonight. When they were able to mount …