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SMART BET NCAA FOOTBALL 2010-2011

Posted by in College Football on August 11th, 2010 | Comment »

Good to be back.  I do have to apologize for struggling down the stretch last year.  I had a lot going on personally and really wasn’t focused on football.  No EXCUSES though, it is what it is and life goes on.  I have done a lot of pre-season review of the teams and have actually already placed a bet on a college football game. If you don’t know, Vegas books release early lines and the one that jumped out at me was Louisville +7 at home verse Kentucky. However, that line was changed quite a bit, with Louisville at +3.

Another key to betting the first week is to look for teams with returning offensive linemen.  Protecting your QB and giving your RB some holes to run through is critical early in the season b/c it really helps avoid those unnecessary turnovers. One team that will be a bet against at every opportunity is Florida Atlantic who returns NO offensive linemen with a collegiate start.  To make matters worse their projected starting center just went down with an injury to his knee and it is not looking good that he will make it back for the first game.

If some of you are into future bets on who may be the BCS Champion I would lean towards the following:

1. Oklahoma at 12to1. Bottom Line: QB did get several starts last year and their schedule sets them up perfectly to go undefeated.

2. Boise State at 10to1. Bottom Line: If they beat VT in the opener then they will go undefeated and may get that chance at BCS Title game this year.

These are just some early thoughts. More to be posted over the next couple weeks. If I get …

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SMART BET BOWL PREDICTIONS

Posted by in College Football Picks on December 18th, 2009 | Comment »

Great to be back! Bowl games are a great opportunity to make a ton of cash as there are a ton of live dogs to be played.

I will have a write for probably all of the bowl games and recommendations.

Wyoming vs Fresno State (-11): for 1 unit. – This Fresno State has played a brutal schedule playing some of the toughest teams in the nation including Cincinnati, Boise State, and a strong Wisconsin team. However, they did lose all three of those games. Plus you factor in the travel schedule and they went from Cincinnati to Hawaii, which had to be grueling on this squad. I think the time off will be a real difference here for Fresno State. Down the stretch this team just looked tired. I love that they have had a couple weeks to rest and get focused for the Bowl game. Another important factor is that most of Fresno State’s players have been in a bowl game before so they will be ready for the media and extra hype and attention that comes with playing in these games. Wyoming is probably one the best college stories of the year. The way they got things turned around and are now in a bowl game is huge. However, that could be their downfall. They may just be happy to be there instead of ready to play one of the best opponents they have played all year long. Wyoming has also been burned by the run all year long and Fresno State has run the ball very well against almost everyone they have played. Lay the points here with Fresno State as they win going away 44-24. I also recommend playing the OVER. L for 1.1 units

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SMART BET COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 13

Posted by in College Football Picks on December 3rd, 2009 | Comment »

Overall Profit 4.7 units

Where has this college football season gone? We have had our share of winners and losers and our share of hot streaks and cold streaks. Last week I put you on two huge winners with Auburn and Connecticut and several other smaller wins to run our profit up to 4.7 units. This college weekend is huge and for many it will determine who is playing in big bowl games and who will be disappointed about playing in some other bowl game. As a note, for all us bettors this weekend is huge. I usually don’t do this, but I am going to give you some great insight. I guarantee there will be several games this weekend where the game comes down to the final play or final series and whoever wins goes on to a big bowl game and the other goes on to some bowl they don’t want to be in. That is key, remember Alabama last year? After losing to Florida they had to play in a bowl game verse Utah that they didn’t want to be in and it cost them. That situation will happen again this year: close game, loser ends up in a meaningless bowl, the loser is favored, and then loses outright. We will need to find those plays on be on the right side.
Thursday Night:

Oregon State at Oregon (-10) for 1 unit. I agree with everything VM said, plus I love the home field advantage in this contest. Oregon is a different team at home and that will be clearly evident tonight as they win by 3 touchdowns over OSU.

LOCK OF THE YEAR #5: Texas (-14) vs Nebraska for 2 units: My Lock of the Year …

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SMART BET College Football Week 12 Recap

Posted by in NFL General on November 30th, 2009 | Comment »

Overall Profit 4.7 units.

We played a ton of games this week and if you were with me all the way you cashed several more winners than losers. The key to the week was our two big plays with Auburn and UCONN both covering even though UCONN was close until the final minutes. My Game of Year Record is now at 3-1 a solid 75%. This week brings about several “Championship Games” beginning with games on Thursday.

As you may or may not know, I will be breaking down every single Bowl game here on the site. I will make recommendations on all games, but will clearly indicate which games your money should be on. There will be a ton of live dogs to play over the next month or so.

Thanks for all the comments and to all those who bought me a drink.

THETRIPLEDOUBLE.COM is in full swing and I have isolated several teams early this year that are going to make us a ton of money, hope to have you on board.

Good Luck…

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SMART BET College Football Week 13

Posted by in College Football Picks on November 24th, 2009 | Comment »

Overall Profit 1.3 units

Back on track last week, going 3-2 for 0.8 units of profit. Really like a few games this week, starting with play on Tuesday night. I am also releasing my fourth play of the year this week on Auburn.

1.) Ball State at Western Michigan (-7) FIRST HALF for 1 unit. L for 1.1 units

2.) GAME OF THE YEAR RELEASE #4: Alabama at Auburn (+10.5) for 2 units.  There are more than several reasons to love Auburn in this spot besides the fact that I am saying they will cover. First, one of the best bets so far this year in both college and the nfl is home dogs off a bye week. Auburn has been a totally different ball club at home this year. They are 6-1 straight up and 4-2 ATS at home this year. Their defense has not been the Auburn defense of old, but this Bama squad’s offense is poor. They have looked good against very weak teams, but not very good against average defenses. If there was ever a good spot for this Auburn defense to shine it would be here. This also sets up as a trap game for Alabama. Everyone is assuming they are playing Florida in the SEC Championship game to determine who plays for the National Title. Therefore, this is any easy look-ahead game for Bama. I really like this spot for Auburn and think they have a legitimate shot to pull the upset. Game of the Year Winner #3. W for 2 units. (I am 3-1 on GOY releases!)

3.) THANKSGIVING SPECIAL: Texas at Texas A&M (+21) for 1 unit. W for 1 unit.

4.) North Carolina at NC State (+6.5) for 1 unit. …

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Smart Bet College Football Week 12

Posted by in NFL General on November 19th, 2009 | Comment »

Overall Profit 0.5 units.

Last week we suffered several tough losses, especially with Fresno State as for someone reason they must have thought they only had to score 14 points to win. The final weeks of the college football season are the most difficult as several more key factors come in to play including: bowl eligilbility, coachs on the hot seat, and guys who are already preparing for life after football, just to name a few. We get back on track with the Thursday night game.

1) Colorado vs Oklahoma State (-17) for 1 unit. (Thursday Night). Important to note that OSU still has an outside chance at playing in a BCS game. They need every win they can get and running up the score on this Colorado team is a good place to start. Colorado can’t wait for the season to be over as this has been one of the most disappointing years in school history. You really have to lean towards home teams playing for something verse road teams playing for absolutely nothing. Tough to see Colorado even staying close. My power ratings have OSU favored by 20. Lay the 17.

2) Arkansas State vs Middle Tennessee State (-11) for 1 unit.

3) Virginia at Clemson (-13) First Half for 1 unit

4) Arizona State at UCLA (-4) for 1 unit

5) LSU (+4) at Mississippi for 1 unit

Other games will be posted later.…

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SMART BET COLLEGE FOOTBALL WEEK 11

Posted by in College Football Picks on November 10th, 2009 | Comment »

Overall Profit 3.9 units (updated 11/11)

We start the week early again with a game on Tuesday night. We hit last Tuesday with Bowling Green over Buffalo, so lets keep our strong Tuesday night plays rolling.

1) Ohio at Buffalo (-1.5) This Buffalo team plays hard every single time they take the field. Ohio was a great play early in the season, but are simply not playing the type of ball they once were. Ohio faces an angry Buffalo squad after their loss from a week ago to Bowling Green. Ohio has also been plagued by the injury bug and are probably looking at starting their 3rd string QB tonight. If Buffalo can establish the run this game will be over at halftime. Lay the points with Buffalo.

Ohio 27 Buffalo 24 L for 1.1 units

GAME OF THE YEAR #3: FRESNO STATE (+7) at Nevada for 2 units

This line simply blows me away. I have Fresno State as a 9 point favorite!! Strength of schedule alone makes Fresno State a strong play. Just look at who Fresno State has played and how they faired in those games: on the road in Wisconsin lose in the final seconds, lose at home in a competitive match with Boise State, play Cincinnati tough to the final quarter, and then have won 5 straight, including three road wins. Nevada also post three early loses, but against teams not nearly as strong as what Fresno faced: blowout loss on the road to Notre Dame, a terrible loss to Colorado State on the road (who by the way has lost 7 straight games, including a loss to UNLV, who Nevada beat by 35), and a loss at home to a weak Missouri squad. Both

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