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SMART BET College Football Picks Week 7

Posted by in College Football Picks on October 12th, 2009 | Comment »

Overall Profit 6.2 units (updated as of 10/14 11:18 pm)

Weekly Running Profit: 2 unit (updated as of 10/14 11:18 pm)

We are coming off one of our greatest weeks ever. However, those bets don’t count this week and we need to keep rolling and finding solid plays. I have already jumped on four games as I saw some key statistical advantages and some key line moves that gave indication for strong plays.

1. Boise State vs Tulsa (+8.5) for 1 unit This game is Wednesday Night! Remember to look for the best available line.

Boise State 28 Tulsa 21 (W) 1 unit of profit.

2. Kent State (-6.5) at Eastern Michigan for 1 unit (W)

3. Miami OH at Ohio (-13.5)for 1 unit (W)

4. Texas Tech at Nebraska (-10) for 1 unit (L)

5. Arkansas State at UL-Monore (-1) for 1 unit  This game is on Tuesday Night.

UL Monroe 16 Arkansas State 10, (W) 1 unit of profit

6. Bowling Green at Ball State (+3) for 2 units (Ball State gets their first win of the season!) (L)

7. Baylor (+2.5) at Iowa State for 2 units (Baylor wins outright! Iowa State will still be affected by last weeks close upset loss to Kansas, you will definitely see a non-focused team. ISU gets beat by 2 touchdowns.) (L)

8. Virginia at Maryland (+3) for 1 unit: Maryland has been close in several games this year and I think they come through with a home win over Virginia. (L)

9. Georgia (-9.5) at Vanderbilt for 1 unit. Vandy is simply not good enough to stop Georgia’s offense. Plus Georgia’s D will put plenty of pressure on the QB and cause several TOs. (W)

10. Akron (+7.5) vs …

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SMART BET College Football Plays for Saturday 10/10

Posted by in College Football Picks on October 9th, 2009 | Comment »

Overall Profit +0.6 units.

Solid win last night with Nebraska. They struggled early, but pulled away late.  That brings us to 2-0 this week with winners on Troy and Nebraska.

I love the card this weekend and think there is a ton of money to be made.

1. Houston at Mississippi State (+2) or (-1) for 1 unit (L): I bet this game on Tuesday at +2, however the line currently is at -2 and -2.5 in some places. There is no way Houston deserves to be favored on the road against an SEC opponent. Plus Houston’s BCS hopes are already out the window. MSU has lost 2 straight at home to difficult SEC opponents. I just don’t see them losing three in a row at home.

2. UCONN (+7.5) at Pittsburgh for 1 unit (W): Another game showing great line movement as UCONN is only a 6 point underdog at the Hilton. UCONN has continued to impress me all year as I have counted them out on several occassions. I think this game is low scoring and will gladly take the points.

3. Iowa State (+19.5) at Kansas for 1 unit (W)

4. Bowling Green at Kent (+3.5) for 1 unit (W)

5. Stanford at Oregon State (+1) for 2 units (W)

6. Oregon at UCLA (+3.5) for 1 unit (L)

7. Kentucky (+9) vs South Carolina for 1 unit (W)

8. Wisconsin at Ohio State (-16) for 1 unit (W): first road test for Wisconsin. Tough spot for Wisconsin as Ohio State isn’t the easiest place to start your road Big Ten play.

9. Arizona State (-21) at Washington State for 1 unit (L): ASU was disappointing last week, they come much more focused …

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Early College Football Games

Posted by in College Football Picks on October 7th, 2009 | Comment »

Solid win last night with Troy as the cover was never in question. I am releasing several games early this week. I will be breaking down these games as the week goes on, but I want to release them so you can shop around and get the best line.

Overall Loss -0.4 units

1. Houston at Mississippi State (+2) or (-1) for 1 unit: I bet this game yesterday at +2, however the line currently is at -1. There is no way Houston deserves to be favored on the road against an SEC opponent.

2. UCONN (+7.5) at Pittsburgh for 1 unit

3. Iowa State (+19.5) at Kansas for 1 unit

4. Bowling Green at Kent (+3.5) for 1 unit

5. Stanford at Oregon State (+1) for 2 units

6. Oregon at UCLA (+3.5) for 1 unit

7. Kentucky (+9) vs South Carolina for 1 unit

8. Wisconsin at Ohio State (-16) for 1 unit: first road test for Wisconsin.

9. Arizona State (-21) at Washington State for 1 unit: ASU was disappointing last week, they come much more focused this weekend.

I know that is a lot of games, but really like the card this week.

Good Luck. I welcome any questions or comments.

10/7 NHL Game:

Phoenix (+175) at Pittsburgh…

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Middle Tennessee State vs. Troy (-7)

Posted by in College Football Picks on October 6th, 2009 | Comment »

This game lines up very nicely for Troy. There are several key advantages that make Troy a great play tonight. First, my power rankings have Troy as an 11-point chalk, therefore I see some value with this line being at 7. Secondly, Middle Tennessee State is playing their third consecutive road game, which always seems difficult for college teams especially. I also believe that MTST may be playing their most difficult opponent of the three here tonight when they face Troy as Maryland and North Texas are pretty weak. Troy has dominated this series recently going 2-0 ATS and SU over the past 2 years. Look for Troy to open this game up early and win going away by 17 points.

The Play Troy (-7) for 2 units (W)

Good Luck!

If your interested, below are three NHL games I like tonight:

1.  Dallas (+125) at Edmonton  Play 1 unit on Dallas (W)

2.  Montreal (+155) at Calgary Play 1 unit on Montreal (W)

3.  Ottawa (+105) at Toronto Play 1 unit on Ottawa (W)

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Nebraska (-3) vs Missouri

Posted by in College Football Picks on October 5th, 2009 | Comment »

Overall Loss -2.4 units.

Early release on this play as I think this line moves much higher before kickoff on Thursday. Nebraska has clearly played a much more difficult schedule and I think their defense really puts pressure on the Missouri offense. I think NB is a much more balanced team and their pass rush is very solid. Look for this game to be close, but NB wins pulling away in the 4th quarter.

The Play Nebraska -3 for 1 unit (W)

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WEEK 5 SATURDAY COLLEGE PICKS

Posted by in College Football Picks on October 3rd, 2009 | Comment »

Overall Profit 0.2 units

We dropped one unit yesterday as Louisville forgot that they had to play two halfs of football to cover the spread!!

I am just posting the picks for today as I want to get them up on the site as soon as possible.

1. Virginia (+13) at UNC for 1 unit (W)
2. Wisconsin at Minnesota (-3) for 1 unit (P)
3. Michigan at Michigan State (-3.5) for 1 unit (W)
4. Tulsa at Rice (+17) for 1 unit (P)
5. Air Force (+2.5) at Army for 2 units (L)
6. FIRST HALF New Mexico at Texas Tech (-20) for 1 unit (L)

Good Luck!…

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Pittsburgh vs Louisville (+7)

Posted by in College Football Picks on October 2nd, 2009 | Comment »

Overall Profit 1.3 units

Hope several of you were able to cash a ticket last night as we brought home an easy winner with UAB winning outright as a 9 point dog. We look to continue rolling tonight and win our third straight game.

Pitt vs Louisville (+7) This line simply does not make a whole lot of sense to me. For the second straight week Pitt is a road favorite and I simply do see enough from them to be laying a touchdown in conference play. Louisville has not been all that impressive losing 2 of 3, but have faced difficult road challenges playing at Kentucky and Utah. They now return home to open up conference play and I expect to see a much different team tonight. Pitt does dominate in most statistical categories, but I just don’t think these two defenses are all that different. Therefore, look for Louisville’s D to slow the Panthers down and keep this game close for the offense. Another thing that seems suspect is that most sites show that the majority of the money continues to roll in on Pitt. However, the line has not really moved all that much as it remains at 7. Which seems to indicate to me that some “smart” money is really on Louisville and if this line would be adjusted the heavy hitters would pound Louisville. I look for this game to be very similar to last night’s battle with Louisville coming away with the win.

The Play: Louisville (+7) for 1 unit. (L)

Good Luck…

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