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Week 1 Tight End Advice: Tony Gonzalez or Vernon Davis?

Posted by in NFL Week 1 Start 'Em Sit 'Em Advice on September 6th, 2011 | 1 Comment

Question:

Team 1: Tony Gonzalez v. New England DEF or Vernon Davis v. Arizona DEF?

Team 2: Vernon Davis v. Arizona DEF or Donald Lee v. Minnesota DEF?

Answer:

I would go with Vernon Davis on both those teams. He is looking to break out this year.…

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Week 1: Sit or Start. Gore, Jackson, Barber, or Slaton? Pick 2

Posted by in NFL Week 1 Start 'Em Sit 'Em Advice on September 6th, 2011 | Comment »

Questions: Fantasy football week 1 start and sit?

I need to start 2 RBs and here are my choices:

Marion Barber @ TB
Steven Jackson @ SEA
Frank Gore @ ARI
Steve Slaton @ NYJ

Which two running backs should I start? This is a 12 team league. I think the other 11 team owners are first timers. The rest of my team is here.

QB: Kurt Warner and Matt Schaub
RB: Frank Gore, Steve Slaton, Steven Jackson and Marion Barber
WR: Calvin Johnson, Reggie Wayne, Roy Williams and Donald Driver
TE: Dallas Clark and Jason Witten
K: Rob Bironas
DEF: Titans

Answer

Go with Steven Jackson and Frank Gore. Not only are they your best players but they are facing weak defenses.…

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Fantasy Week 1 – Chris Johnson or Ray Rice?

Posted by in NFL Week 1 Start 'Em Sit 'Em Advice on September 6th, 2011 | Comment »

Question: Fantasy Week 1 Sit Vs. Start, Chris Johnson or Ray Rice?

Chris Johnson is my first-round pick, but he is playing against the best run defense in the league in the Pittsburgh Steelers. Ray Rice plays Kansas City and will most likely get the most of the carries, but my concern is that he shares carries with a couple other running backs. Who do you think I should start?

Answer:

Obviously Johnson. This is a NO BRAINER. Go with Johnson and you will not be sorry. GOOD LUCK!!…

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NFL Week 1 – Need Some Help Setting Roster

Posted by in NFL Week 1 Start 'Em Sit 'Em Advice on September 6th, 2011 | 1 Comment

Question:

2 WR, 2 HB, and 1 WR/HB in a league that you receive points for catches
Joesph Addai, Laurence Maroney, Reggie Bush, Roddy White, Roy Williams, Santonio Holmes

Answer

I would take Roddy White and Santonio Holmes as my wideouts, Reggie Bush and Laruence Maroney as my backs, and Addai in the flex. Sit Roy Williams. Guy has bust all over him.…

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2011 NFL Week 1 Predictions and Picks Against the Spread

Posted by in NFL Picks on September 5th, 2011 | Comment »
2011 Week 1 Picks Against the Spread

Will Eric Berry be the defensive player of the year?

I am back with another season of NFL picks and predictions against the spread. We started the beginning of last season strong and then had our best days around Thanksgiving time. Rather than previewing every single game in the NFL, I’m going to focus on the top 3-5 games that I like. I apologize for the inconsistency in weekly postings towards the final stretch of the season last year, but work caught up with me. By focusing on just the top games of the week, I’ll be able to maintain the discipline for timely weekly write-ups. I also wanted to plug my NFL Fantasy Cheat Sheet — feel free to use that in your draft to check rankings and stats. Without further ado, let’s take a look at the action.

Check out my FINAL WORD for all applicable addendums and don’t forget to sign up for our PICK ‘EM LEAGUE.

CAROLINA PANTHERS @ ARIZONA CARDINALS (-6.5)

I love betting against bad teams and the 6.5 spread looks like a good play here since I’m sure it will move to Cardinals -7 by kickoff. You have Cam Newton’s NFL debut on the road. Rookies are prone to make mistakes in their debut and I think that’s what you see here. Newton completed just 42% of his passes in the preseason and has thrown just 1 TD. His yards per attempt is a dismal 5.3.  That comes out to a 64.9 QB rating. Compare that to Kolb’s 55% completion percentage, 8.9 YPA, and 95.3 QB rating. The Carinals were also the 1st-ranked overall and passing offense in the preseason if you want to put any weight into preseason numbers. The Panthers …

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Eric Berry 2010 Chiefs Highlights

Posted by in NFL Videos on September 5th, 2011 | Comment »

And this was only his rookie season… perhaps the best safety since Brian Dawkins.



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NFL Week 1: Predicted Lines vs. Actual Lines

Posted by in NFL Picks on September 4th, 2011 | Comment »

NFL Week 1 Predicted SpreadsA good exercise to utilize before placing any bets on games is to write down what you think the line will be before seeing them. This will help you spot some value plays or help you think if you’re giving up too many points to pick a certain team. Based on some preliminary looks, I like Atlanta over Chicago, Kansas City over Buffalo, Arizona over Carolina, and New England over Miami.

One game where I was way off was New York Giants @ Washington. I thought Vegas may put the Redskins at 2.5-point favorites since they’re at home. New York Giants have a better team on paper, but I still like getting +3 at home in the opener. I love the way the Redskins running game was looking in the preseason and Rex Grossman looked great in his preseason start against the Steelers.

New Orlenas @ Green Bay
Expected Line: Green Bay -3
Actual Line:  Green Bay -4

Philadelphia @ St. Louis
Expected Line: Philadelphia -4
Actual Line: Philadelphia -4.5

Atlanta @ Chicago
Expected Line: Atlanta -3.5
Actual Line: Atlanta -3

Cincinnati @ Cleveland
Expected Line: Cleveland -4
Actual Line: Cleveland -6.5

Buffalo @ Kansas City
Expected Line: Kansas City -7
Actual Line: Kansas City -6.5

Detroit @ Tampa Bay
Expected Line: Tampa Bay -1.5
Actual Line: Tampa Bay -1.5

Tennessee @ Jacksonville
Expected Line: Jacksonville -1
Actual Line: Jacksonville -3

Pittsburgh @ Baltimore
Expected Line: Pittsburgh -1
Actual Line:  Baltimore -2.5

Indianapolis @ Houston
Expected Line: Houston -4.5
Actual Line: Houston -6

Carolina @ Arizona
Expected Line: Arizona -7
Actual Line: Arizona -6.5

Minnesota @ San Diego
Expected Line: San Diego -7.5
Actual Line: San Diego -9

Seattle @ San Francisco
Expected Line: San Francisco -4.5
Actual Line:  San …

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