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Can Vick lead the Eagles past the Jags?

The Ravens pick didn’t go as well as it did in my head. It was looking good when the Ravens jumped out to a 14-3 lead thanks to 2 Anquan Boldin TDs, but then the Ravens offense failed them. They couldn’t convert some key 3rd downs and the Browns got the ball and put some nice drives together despite the losses of Delhomme, Jerome Harrison, and Robiskie.

Cleveland didn’t turn over the ball as I thought they would and they controlled the clock. Like I said, be weary of high spreads, but I wasn’t going to take any road teams after their disastrous start to the season. Didn’t think the Browns offense could handle the Ravens D, especially without some key players, and thought the Browns horrendous D would show up once again on the road.

With the Ravens up 21-17, there’s a still a shot at covering with 9 minutes left, but they need a TD for the push. Time for that turnover that’s due. Wallace fumbles, but recovers at CLE’s 3 to set up a 3rd and 28, so there is still a shot here.

All 1:00 games seamed to play out as a 50/50 percent chance of either team covering. Only clear winner was Steelers over Bucs. Kansas City also dominated their game against San Fransisco, leading 24-3 in the 3rd. There’s no way anyone thought the Chiefs could put up 24 points against the Niners. No one. As I said, if the Chiefs come out on top, you know just how big the home-dog factor has played out this season, but the Steelers came out on top against the home dog Bucs. Gauging what will happen on Sunday …

Ravens baby... Ravens!

Hope everyone had a nice college Saturday going into NFL Sunday. I had two nice hits thanks to Nevada (-4) and Stanford (-4.5). My other play on Saturday was South Carolina (+3). South Carolina had 4 turnovers in the 4th quarter after being in the driver’s seat the entire game and failed to cover. It was the right pick, but I guess you can’t win ’em all. I’ll take two out of three any day. Those were the three games that I played on Saturday.

I also recommended Kansas and Florida State in my write up and those picks hit. There were also some other heartbreakers mixed in those picks. Good thing I played TCU (-18) small on Friday since they won by 17 points after the extra point on TCU’s last TD was missed. That wasn’t fixed, right? Oregon also missed the -11.5 cover by a half point. I also kept everyone away from Alabama (-7). I should have even come out a said that Arkansas (+7) was the play, but not many people have made a living betting against college football’s best teams. Ohio State also covered the 42.5 points against Eastern Michigan, 73-20.

Enough about college football. Today I’m liking the Ravens (-11) at 1:00. The line opened at -11, which is where I grabbed it, but has moved to -12.5. Why do I like the Ravens? Well I’m not going to be crazy enough to put my money on any road favorites. There’s over a half dozen home dogs this week, so we’ll really see how well the home dog theory works out.

What worked last week? Home teams, home teams, home teams. We played Atlanta (-6.5) and Green Bay …

Question: Which RBs do I start in week 3?

Here’s my squad.

Marques Colston
Santana Moss
Mark Clayton
Hakeem Nicks
Jeremy Maclin

I’m favoring them in that order. I just can’t decide because if I bench Hakeem Nicks, he’s going to get another 4 touchdowns and Jeremy Maclin is probably going to have the game of his career. I’ve tanked to 4th place and I’m playing the #1 guy in our league and I want to dominate this game.

Answer:

Are you serious? Benching Nicks and Maclin for Santana Moss and Mark Clayton? That’s nonsense. You have to start Colston, Nicks, and Macline. That is a hell of a WR group.

What do you think? Answer below!…

Tom Brady: "Iceman (sniff, sniff), you stink."

I’m trying out something new this week and that’s breaking up my picks into 1:00 games and 4:00 games. We covered 1:00 games yesterday, let’s see what’s good at 4:00.  We have 4 more home dogs coming up at 4:00, so the home dog theory is in full effect this week. Let’s see how it works out in week 3. I’m picking against all of them which may make me look like a genius or idiot. We shall see. I’m not sure if any are worth a shot for my money, but you’ll have to decide on that. Proceed with caution gentlemen. This time slot’s theme? TOP GUN. Highway to the Danger Zone music video is after the jump for your enjoyment.

WASHINGTON REDSKINS (-3.5) @ ST. LOUIS RAMS

You see over and over again, absurdly low spreads when road teams are favored. Why is this? To sucker people like you in. Everyone is going to be taking the Redskins here. How can you not like the Skins against the Rams, right? They have a very good defense. Sure that gave up 30 the Texans including 20 in the second half, but the Texans are a top 5 offense in the NFL thanks to Andre Johnson, who had 12 receptions for 158 yards in that contest. I can understand the books expecting the Redskins to come out flat after last week’s tough loss, but I expect Donovan McNabb to pick apart the Rams defense while the Rams’ Sam Bradford struggles against a typically tough defense. Bradford has posted QB ratings of 53 and 86 so far this year and has 3 TDs to 4 INTs, but really should only have 3 INTs …

Do I have your attention?

Last week we hit our top 2 plays in Green Bay (-13) and Atlanta (-6.5). Why did we hit these? Because we looked for the best home teams to take and of course stayed away from betting against home dogs. Although the public was all over the Patriots, Ravens, Eagles, and Saints, they all failed to cover the spread against the home dog. We hopefully kept you away from those sucker picks and steared you in the right direction with Green Bay and Atlanta. Although, I was the sucker who added Pats (+4) to my teaser which I hit 3/4 on. “If the Patriots lose this one, it’ll be by less than 4,” right? Wrong. Don’t bet against home dogs.

Here are my week 3 NFL picks against the spread. We’re doing things differently this week, we’re splitting the picks into 1:00 games and 4:00 games. 4:00 games come out tomorrow, so be sure to return for those.

ATLANTA FALCONS @ NEW ORLEANS SAINTS (-3)

Atlanta looked hot at home last week, but struggled on the road against a tough Pittsburgh defense. This just goes to show you how important home field advantage is or maybe the Cardinals are truly horrific. The Saints haven’t scored points in prolific fashion like last year, but they’ve faced the Vikings and 49ers. That’s excusable. The Falcons D must be respected. They’re a good squad. This one looks to be close with the spread and I really think you’ll end up pushing here. Should be a great game to watch. This and Cowboys/Texans is what will have my attention this week at 1:00.

Prediction: Saints 27 – Falcons 23

Pick Against the Spread: Saints -3 (Confidence: …

Here are some week 4 college picks which caught my eye.

I already posted my two cents to Brandon’s week 4 college picks and we covered a lot of ground this week. As I mentioned there, Brandon and I really like Nevada (-4) and South Carolina (+3). I’m just going to scan through the rest of the spreads and see if anything excites me. Like I mention at the end, this is based off a quick scan so make sure you do your own due diligence before taking any of these picks.

We start of Thursday Night with Miami Hurricanes (-3.5) @ Pittsburgh Panthers. My first impression was Hurricanes, but you know the story — don’t bet against a home dogs in a primetime games (e.g., 49ers cover against Saints). However, college football is different. We played against 3 home dogs last week and we brought home the bacon in all three — Alabama (-23.5) over Duke, Boise State (-24) over Wyoming, and Nebraska (-3.5) over Washington. This is a pretty even matchup if you ask me although I give the edge to Miami. They have the better defense. I think this one ends up a 24-21 or 24-17 game with two respectable defenses. The  under 50.5 looks good.  The under 57.5 looks like an absolute lock if you want to tease that up to take the under and then take Miami at +3.5 or Pitt +10.5 depending on your stance. That’s your call.

I think you can take a shot on TCU (-18) over SMU Friday Night as a small play. TCU is 8-3 ATS in their last 11 and 6-2 ATS on Friday nights. This one is at SMU, but no biggie. SMU’s offense hasn’t been bad, …

Question: I need some help setting my fantasy roster for week 3.

Who do i start at RB? Pick 1.

Pierre Thomas vs. ATL
Deangelo Williams vs. CIN

Who do i start at WR? Pick 2.

Austin Collie @ DEN
Demaryius Thomas vs. IND
Donald Driver @ CHI

Best answer:

With Reggie Bush out, Pierre Thomas should be getting all of the carries for the Saints. I’m not sold on Williams with him splitting carries with Stewart and not getting enough goal-line carries.

Demaryius Thomas had an amazing week 1 with 8 catches and 97 yards. This guy has WR1 potential and will soon be ranked among the likes of Hakeem Nicks and and Brandon Marshall.

Add your own answer in the comments!…