Last week I told you that I’m bringing on a new contributor to the site. The dude starts you off 2-0 ATS. The NC State/Cincinnati under 54.5 was an easy winner and Nevada absolutely cruised to a victory. It wasn’t even fair. Even better is the fact that he delivered two wins on Thursday night and Friday night to set up the table for what should be a great Saturday in college football before going into a tough Sunday in the NFL.
For the person who said, “sure, now you talk about your pick of Texans over Colts. Show us what you can do before the games.” Looks like he showed you.
Both Brandon and The Kid like Arizona and I’m with them. Two factors here: it’s a home-dog play and it’s a revenge game for Arizona, who was beaten by Iowa 27-17 last year in week 3 when this game was in Iowa. The change in location will be key this time around as Arizona was 4-0 ATS at home against conference foes last year. Although a Big 10 team is rolling into town, I’m saying this because with covers against Oregon (-5.5), California (+7.5), Stanford (+4), and Washington (+33), they had an impressive home resume last year.
QB Nick Foles is really coming along and is ready to have a breakout year. Although he’s only faced Toledo and The Citadel, he’s completed 83.1% of his passes. Arizona is averaging over 500 yards of offense and has outscored their two opponents 92-8. Iowa’s offense has equally been impress with their two blowout wins, averaging 457 yards per game and 37 points per game.
In the Iowa game last year, Foles only got 11 passing attempts. It wasn’t until after that game that Foles became the man at QB. Another player to watch is the elusive RB Nic Grisby who has already piled up 160 yards and 5 TDs on just 19 attempts — a ridiculous 8.4 YPC. Iowa is going to have a tough time matching up with Foles and the weapons that he has around him. Foles has two very talented 6’4″ receivers in Juron Criner and Delashaun Dean.
On defense, Iowa will need another big game out of #94 DE Adrian Clayborn if they want a …
Like I mentioned earlier this week, I’m liking the Cornhuskers -3.5 in this one. I thought this spread would be more like -4.5 or -5.5. On the other hand, Washington was one of those teams that I wanted to ride this year with the development of QB Jake Locker and the nice weapons that he has around him. Washington let me down week 1 against BYU, but bounced back with a nice cover against Syracuse, a game that Brandon picked.
We all know that Nebraska is known for their defense, but the player to watch in this one is QB Taylor Martinez. Martinez has averaged 142 rushing yards per game with an average of 13.5 YPC — that’s ridiculous! He already has 5 rushing TDs in 2 games. Not only is Martinez a tremendous rushing threat, but he throws a nice ball as well, completing nearly 70% of his passes. Oh yeah, this guy is the real deal. See highlights below. Granted, the defenses he’s faced (Western Kentucky and Idaho) are laughing matters, but there’s no doubt that this kid is a talented player and he’ll be facing another weak defense. Washington has a questionable defense at best. I don’t think think they’ll have enough to stop this Nebraska offense that has put up 49 and 38 in their first two games.
One thing to worry about is how the redshirt freshman is able to handle his first start on the road. That is one thing to be concerned about. However, when it doubt, just your wheels Taylor. Nebraska has managed a 5-2 record ATS in …
Look on Coach Singletary's face when Seattle beat him 31-6.
We hope you enjoyed the Thursday Night Winner: NC State/Cincinnati Under 54.5. You can thank our new contributor Joey G for that one as well as further support from both Brandon and I on board with that pick if you take the time to read through the comments. Thank you to everyone who comments and contributes to the site to make it more interactive.
Brandon has added a ton of more games this his Saturday lineup for you to check out. He’s got plenty of games with the points on his card that he’s looking to take advantage of including Arizona State (+14), Ball State (+17), and Mississippi State (+8). Be sure to check out some of those picks.
This is just a reminder for everyone to get their picks in for the pick ’em league. If you haven’t joined, we’re only 1 week in and there’s 16 weeks of action left so there’s plenty of time to catch up and play for the title, which will earn you a free NFL shop custom t-shirt. Click here to register. League ID is 10945 and the password is thepassrush.
Congratulations to league leaders Fozzy_Bucs and erstiffs who sit atop the leaderboard and posted an insane 10-3-3 record against the spread last week. I wonder how they come out this week. They each got three different games wrong interestingly. Both had Houston over Colts and Seattle over 49ers so you may call it luck or maybe they know what the hell they’re doing. Fozzy had CHI, ATL, and SD wrong while erstiffs had BUF, DEN, and DAL wrong. Only 5/30 had Seattle and Kansas City covering while …
Very tough week. The home dog factor is messing with my head.
We’re back for our week 2 NFL picks. As many of you have already seen and commented on, we’re bringing on a new contributor to THE PASS RUSH. Brandon and I have teamed up for the last four years to provide weekly NFL and CFB picks against the spread with outstanding analysis. Although we’re expected to post winning percentages close to the 1990’s Chicago Bulls, we’ve still achieved solid success with our picks, but we’re obviously in this game to provide more consistent winners and I believe that the contributions from Joey G and the Kid will help accomplish that. Catch their introduction to the site.
Last week I came out 10-5 straight up and 5-5-3 ATS in the NFL. Not bad, but we need that winning percentage to get above .550. You’ll be able to follow our picks in the Pick ‘Em league. It’s never too late to sign up. League info is on the right above the latest articles.
BALTIMORE RAVENS (-1) @ CINCINNATI BENGALS
Obviously everyone is going to say go Ravens after their big MNF win against the Jets and the Bengals embarrassing loss to the Patriots. With 90% of the money pouring in on the Ravens, why is this spread at Bengals +1. Wouldn’t you think that the Bengals should be getting at least 3-4 points in this contest? One thing to consider before jumping the gun on the Ravens is that the Ravens are playing back-to-back road games and are on a short week. Advantage Bengals. Sometimes you have to consider everything that may go wrong before thinking about what can go right.
Last week I took Alabama (-11.5) over Penn State and Alabama won in convincing fashion 24-3, running all over a very respectable Big 10 defense in Penn State with 180 yards on the ground and 229 through the air for over 400 yards of offense. Naturally, I would look to ride them against this week as they started off the season 2-0 ATS.
We all know that Duke’s defense is terrible. They lost to Wake Forest this past week 54-48 and beat Elon by a score of 41-27. Duke gave up an average of 452 yards in those games and was miserable against the run, giving up an average of 8.4 yards per carry. Against a team that loves to run the football and imposes their will over top-tier NCAA defenses, I don’t see how Alabama doesn’t score on essentially every drive that they get the football, especially considering that Duke gave up 54 points to Wake Forest and allowed 27 to Elon. The Crimson Tide should be due for at least 40 points in this game.
Some betting trends that I’ve spotted:
ALAB are 8-2 ATS in their last 10 road games.
Over is 6-2-1 in ALAB last 9 games in September.
ALAB are 13-5 ATS in their last 18 games on grass.
Over is 19-5-3 in DUKE last 27 home games.
DUKE are 16-34-1 ATS in their last 51 home games.
Based on Duke’s history and the trends, you know that Duke will give up a ton of points. Last week I took Oklahoma (-9.5) over Florida State and this line even drifted down to Oklahoma (-7) by game time for …
Thinking of betting against a home underdog? Reconsider.
If you’ve listened to Brandon’s advice, you never bet against a home dog. Sometimes you win, sometimes you lose, but you certainly have to be cautious when betting against a home dog. The 49ers and Chargers losses are two prime examples. However, I won off Miami and the Packers also covered against the Eagles, so it’s not like it’s a full-proof method. Here’s some info that you will not want to forget for the rest of the season.
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