In tonight’s nationally televised showdown, I am making a small play on the Pittsburgh Panthers at (+4). There are a lot of trends that most of you are probably going to go by, but i don’t like too many of them. I like the Panthers tonight at home in their first HOME test of the season. Pitt played tough on the road at Utah but came up just shy of a victory. Pitt’s running game has not been where they want it to be so far this season. I’m looking for a big game tonight out of the nation’s leading rusher from ’09, Dion Lewis. Lewis has been held to only 102 yards on 35 carries thus far, this season. Dion Lewis will be the X-factor in tonight’s game if they want to come away with a win. The Panthers will come out with fire and intensity at home and look to make a statement on national television.
Here are some trends that should give you a little more incentive:
Pitt is 7-3 in their last 10 home games ATS
Miami is 3-13 in their last 16 ATS off of a bye week
Pitt is a HOME DOG (Vegas Martin)
Like I said, don’t get too caught up in these trends. Read the article and take Pitt for a small winner tonight.
Think of betting on the top 10 against the spread? Think again.
Based on a quick glance at the week 1 college football scores, you’re probably saying to yourself, “I should have just bet on every top 10 college football team.” Let’s see how many ended up covering.
#1 Alabama (-38.5) vs. San Jose State – Alabama covers by 6.5
#2 Ohio State (-28) vs. Marshall – Ohio State covers by 10
#3 Florida (-38) vs. Miami-OH – Miami-OH covers by 16
#4 Texas (-31) vs. Rice – Rice covers by 14
#5 Boise State vs. #6 Virginia Tech – Tonight!
#7 TCU (-13.5) vs. Oregon State – Oregon State covers by 4.5
#8 Oklahoma (-34) vs. Utah State – Utah State covers by 27
#9 Nebraska (-39) vs. Western Kentucky – Push
#10 Iowa vs. Eastern Illinois – No Odds
Summary: If you took the 7 top 10 teams that could you have bet on ATS, you would have went 2-4-1.…
Good to be back. I do have to apologize for struggling down the stretch last year. I had a lot going on personally and really wasn’t focused on football. No EXCUSES though, it is what it is and life goes on. I have done a lot of pre-season review of the teams and have actually already placed a bet on a college football game. If you don’t know, Vegas books release early lines and the one that jumped out at me was Louisville +7 at home verse Kentucky. However, that line was changed quite a bit, with Louisville at +3.
Another key to betting the first week is to look for teams with returning offensive linemen. Protecting your QB and giving your RB some holes to run through is critical early in the season b/c it really helps avoid those unnecessary turnovers. One team that will be a bet against at every opportunity is Florida Atlantic who returns NO offensive linemen with a collegiate start. To make matters worse their projected starting center just went down with an injury to his knee and it is not looking good that he will make it back for the first game.
If some of you are into future bets on who may be the BCS Champion I would lean towards the following:
1. Oklahoma at 12to1. Bottom Line: QB did get several starts last year and their schedule sets them up perfectly to go undefeated.
2. Boise State at 10to1. Bottom Line: If they beat VT in the opener then they will go undefeated and may get that chance at BCS Title game this year.
These are just some early thoughts. More to be posted over the next couple weeks. If I get …
This guy must have done this as a joke because that’s what his team played like on Saturday! Check out this video of FSU’s right tackle not even moving after they snap the football. How does he not move when all other 21 plays are running around on the field? This has to be a joke. The video comes from NFL Monday Night countdown:
We gave back a few units, but are still on the plus side of things. I have keyed one game for this weekend that I believe may be the absolute biggest play of the year. I will have it posted as soon as I confirm all the numbers and analysis.
College Basketball has started and I cannot be more excited. I told you before it is where I have found the most success, in terms of money made. Last year I was posting my plays on another site under SMART BET and received roughly 500 hits a day. Last night I tipped things off by going 2-0 with a first half and game side play on Ohio State. There are more college games beginning on Wednesday.
Thanks for all the comments.
I am analyzing tonight’s game between Ohio and Buffalo and will post a play if I find something I really like.…
The BCS rankings are out. After giving them a look, this is what I think the Bowl games should be. Oklahoma is just barely ahead of Texas, which means they’ll face Missuouri in the Big 12 Championship. Missouri should get killed by them and Oklahoma will walk their way into the National Championship, to face the SEC Champion, which is between Florida and Alabama.
BSC Championship: Oklahoma vs. Florida
Sugar Bowl: Texas vs. Alabama
Rose Bowl: USC vs. Penn State
Fiesta Bowl: Texas Tech vs. Utah
Orange Bowl: What’s the deal with the Orange Bowl, is it usually ACC vs. Big East or just the next two BCS teams? OK, Ohio State vs. Boise State.
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