Football Picks Against the Spread

Question: I need help setting up my week 10 fantasy roster.

Here is my team.

QB – Pick 1
Matthew Stafford @ CHI
Tim Tebow @ KC

WR – Pick 2
Dez Bryant vs. BUF
Calvin Johnson @ CHI
Stevie Johnson @ DAL
Marques Colston @ ATL
Percy Harvin @ GB

RB – Pick 1
Michael Turner vs. NO
Adrian Peterson @ GB
Chris Johnson @ CAR

I allready had Antonio Gates the TE play he only produced 10 points for me I need to win this week any advice helps
Thanks.

Best answer:

How did you manage to draft all of those players? You must be in a league with 3 teams. You have Peterson, Chris Johnson, Calvin Johnson, Stevie Johnson, and Michael Turner? Impossible I say. It sucks you can only take 1 RB, but I would go with Adrian Peterson as Green Bay has had some inconsistencies against the run. At wide receiver, Calvin Johnson is the clear choice and I like Dez Bryant against that Buffalo defense.

What do you think? Answer below!…

I led the pick ’em league this week with a 10-5 ATS record, but the posted picks went 1-2 ATS which I apologize for. I hit on the Texans pick, but fell victim to another shocking upset with the Seahawks topping the Ravens. Logic would dictate that if the Ravens beat the Steelers twice, and the Steelers beat the Bengals, and the Bengals destroyed the Seahawks, that the Ravens should destroy the Seahawks, but logic doesn’t always play out in the NFL, especially when trying to pick road favorites to win. But we hit on the Falcons as road favorites last week and hit on the Texans as road favorites this week — you win some, you lose some. Onto Monday Night.

MINNESOTA VIKINGS @ GREEN BAY PACKERS (-13)

I would lean Packers at home on Monday Night. Their offense is just dominating, but the Vikings have improved since they’ve put in Christian Ponder at QB. I don’t liking giving up so many points since a 7-13 point win by the Packers is within the realm of possibilities. I would tease the Packers down to -6 and tease the over/under from 49.5 to 42.5 and take the over. The over is 7-2 in the Packers last 9 home games, but the under  is 7-1 in the Vikings last 8 road games. I was originally leaning picking the under 56.5 since it’s just a ton of points, but I think the Packers are due for 30 and the Vikings are due for 20, so one more TD would bust up the card. The game should end in a minimum score of 24-20, 27-17, or 31-13 to hit on the over.

We all know the Packers are going to get their points. …

Question: What team should I pick in week 11 of my survivor pool?

There are three picks that I have on my mind for week 11. I’m trying to decide between the Dallas Cowboys over the Washington Redskins, San Francisco 49ers over the Arizona Cardinals, and Chicago Bears over the San Diego Chargers.

The 49ers seems like the obvious choice here, but Frank Gore might be out. I also like the Cowboys over the Redskins since the Redskins are terrible. Are there any other teams that I should consider?

Answer:

That all depends on what teams you have left. I’m taking the Lions this week and the Patriots next Monday Night against the Chiefs. I like the Cowboys pick, but you have to be careful with road division games. It could possibly be a trap game so I would stick with the 49ers who have the advantage of playing at home.

Add your own answer in the comments!…

I will elaborate on my week 10 picks prior to kickoff, but I wanted to get something up beforehand so you know where my head is at for this week. I’m going to be looking into the following games.

BALTIMORE RAVENS (-6.5) @ SEATTLE SEAHAWKS

Love betting against the Seahawks. I didn’t do it last week as I took the 11 points over Dallas and got the cover in the pick ’em league, but I scored a victory the week before betting against them when they faced the Bengals. The Ravens should dominate this game on both sides of the ball.

HOUSTON TEXANS (-3.5) @ TAMPA BAY BUCCANEERS

Houston is rolling with 3 wins in a row in domination fashion. Tampa Bay’s offense is struggling. I’m expecting a close one here and won’t be surprised if Tampa pulls off the upset, but it’s a shot worth taking. Andre Johnson is out again, but that hasn’t stopped the Texans from scoring. Houston is averaging 31.7 PPG in their last three games, albeit against Cleveland, Jacksonville, and Tennessee.

TENNESSEE TITANS @ CAROLINA PANTHERS (-3.5)

I’ll take another shot on the Panthers at home. Although they fell short against the Vikings last week, I’m hoping you get a rebound game from Cam Newton and the rest of the offense. Double check Cam Newton’s status. He has stiffness in his right shoulder and is listed on the injury report as probable.

 …

Question: Which WR should I start after Roddy White… Nate Washington or Deion Branch?

Which 2 wide receivers would you play? I have Roddy White, Nate Washington, Deion Branch, and Jabar Gaffney. Feel free to give your reason behind the choice as well.  Thank you.

Best answer:

I would go with Deion Branch. Now that he’s back with Tom Brady, he’s a much better option than Nate Washington and Jabar Gaffney. Nate Washington will get lots of looks with Kenny Britt out. However, I would still take the receiver that’s paired up with Brady although Brady will mostly throw to Wes Welker and Rob Gronkowski.

Add your own answer in the comments!…

Question: Who should I start in Week 9?

Who should I start this week? Rashard Mendenhall against BAL or Knowshon Moreno against OAK?

Answer:

Although Mendenhall is up against a tough Baltimore defense. He is going to be getting almost all of the caries while Knowshon will be splitting carries with Willies McGahee.  Mendenhall is a much better back and has show that he can put up numbers regardless of what opposing defense he is facing.

What do you think? Answer below!…

Question: What receiver should I start in week 12?

I am currently starting Larry Fitzgerald, who plays the Eagles who have had a very solid pass defense all year long. I also plan on starting Antonio Brown vs. CIN. Brown has been on fire and the Bengals have been getting beat the last few games by WRs.

My other options are:

Brandon Marshall vs. WAS
Laurent Robinson vs. BUF

Should I start Brandon Marshall over Larry Fitzgerald or Antonio Brown?

Answer:

I am in the same position. I would sit Larry Fitzgerald, especially with Kolb out. I actually like Laurent Robinson who has played well with Tony Romo all season long with Miles Austin out. If Kolb starts on Sunday, I may put Fitzgerlad back in the lineup. I would actually put in Marshall though. He is going to get his receptions, the only question is if he’ll turn those receptions into any big yards. He is the only thing the Dolphins have going for them.

Give your answer to this question below!…