Football Picks Against the Spread

In the last three weeks we’ve posted a 6-4 ATS record for posted picks. I hit on my top play in the Oakland Raiders (-6.5) over the Cleveland Browns, but I fell victim to two upsets in the Bucs over the Saints and 49ers over Lions. In the pick ’em league, I did much better, scoring an 8-5 ATS record and moving up in the standings. The Bears and Jets were easy hits, so hopefully you played the the Sunday and Monday night games and made some easy coin.

After taking a quick scan at the week 7 lineup, there’s not much that I like. Most of these games I see as toss ups (Ex: Chargers @ Jets, Seahawks @ Browns, Falcons @ Lions, Redskins @ Panthers, Bears @ Bucs, Broncos @ Dolphins, Texans @ Titans).

We’re left picking from Steelers (-3.5) @ Cardinals, Packers (-9) @ Vikings, Colts @ Saints (-14). I’m not going to lay 14 to take the Saints, so we’re pretty much down to Steelers and and the Packers. Might as well stick to the two best teams playing this week.

GREEN BAY PACKERS (-9) @ MINNESOTA VIKINGS

It doesn’t matter if the Packers are playing at home or on the road, they are just dominating the NFL right now and easily looking like the NFL’s best team. They’re also 5-1 ATS this year. Green Bay destroyed the Vikings on the road last year 31-3. The Vikings will have to rely on their newly-named starter Christian Ponder to get something going for this struggling Vikings offense. Ponder will be making his first NFL career start and he didn’t fare too well against the Bears last week. The Bears limited the Vikings to 10 points while the …

Who should I sit or start in week 7?

I’m in a 16 team league.

RB: Rashard Mendenhall, Tashard Choice, Fred Jackson – Pick 2

WR: Roy Williams or Johnny Knox

Answer:

Jackson should be on the bench unless Lynch gets hurt. Start Rashard and Tashard.

I’d start Knox, because he’s scoring each week and the Bengal’s pass rush took a major with DE Odom out. Cutler should have plenty of time to pass with the Bengal’s best pass rusher out of the game.

Give your answer to this question below!…

We put the system to the test for the second straight week, this time coming out a tiny bit more successful than the first posting a 4-3-1 ATS record. This is what we have for Week 7, GOOD LUCK!

Chicago Bears @ Tampa Bay Buccaneers: Bears 23.18555 – Buccaneers 18.52264

Washington Redskins @ Carolina Panthers: Redskins 20.93795 – Panthers 18.83872

Seattle Seahawks @ Cleveland Browns: Seahawks 19.56502 – Browns 21.18917

Pittsburgh Steelers @ Arizona Cardinals: Steelers 21.31028 – Cardinals 16.486

Houston Texans @ Tennessee Titans: Texans 19.45904 – Titans 21.20014

Atlanta Falcons @ Detroit Lions: Falcons 17.56672 – Lions 32.7658

Kansas City Chiefs @ Oakland Raiders: Chiefs 15.33188 – Raiders 34.61589

St. Louis Rams @ Dallas Cowboys: Rams 10.53784 – Cowboys 29.21914

Green Bay Packers @ Minnesota Vikings: Packers 32.42156 – Vikings 18.55227

Indianapolis Colts @ New Orleans Saints: Colts 18.76741 – Saints 39.59327

San Diego Chargers @ New York Jets: Chargers 19.96875 – Jets 26.24908

Denver Broncos @ Miami Dolphins: Broncos 22.71929 – Dolphins 20.63871

Baltimore Ravens @ Jacksonville Jaguars: Ravens 28.76889 – Jaguars 9.900965

Plays resulting from scores:

TOP PLAY (off the Vegas line by the most points):

Raiders (-4) L

OTHERS:

Lions (-3.5) L

Panthers (+3) W

Jets (+2.5) W

Cowboys (-11.5) W

Saints (-14) W

Ravens (-8)

Let’s hope for another successful week!…

Question: Who do I start? Tim Tebow or Cam Newton?

I am having difficulty this week trying to decide who to start at QB in my fantasy football league. Cam Newton is projected to get 24 points against Washington while Tim Tebow is projected to get 16 points against Miami. Although there is a tremendous amount of upside in playing Cam Newton based on the projected points its still hard to think of sitting Tebow against the second worst pass defense in the league

Cam Newton has been great getting me 25+ points all season besides two bad games where he still got 15 and 17. They can both run and both have deep pass weapons. I can’t decide so I am seeking some feedback from others. Who should I start and why? All advice is appreciated.

Answer:

How can you not start Cam Newton after the start he has gotten off to. The guy has been a fantasy monster so far this year. I’m not sold on Tim Tebow yet. The guy can run, but his passing is awful.

Give your answer to this question below!…

Question: I got off to a terrible start going 1-5 and really need a win. Which RB should I start in week 7?

Darren Sproles or Ryan Torain?

Sproles is having a great year and has been consistent. Ryan Torain is capable of having a huge game, but you can’t trust Shanahan. All help is appreciated.

Answer:

Sproles will be your best option here. You know what you’re going to get when he touches the ball where Torain remains an uncertainty as you never know which back will get the bulk of carries any given Sunday. I would start Darren Sproles.

Know better? Leave your own answer in the comments!…

Question : Fantasy Football Week 6 Sit/Start?

I need some help selecting my WRs for week 6.  Pick three starters.

WR:
Jeremy Maclin @ WAS
Dez Bryant @NE
Santana Moss vs. PHI
Santonio Holmes vs. MIA
Kevin Walter @ BAL

Thanks.

Answer:

Maclin – Maclin has been solid every week.
Dez – The Patriots corners are awful and Romo is going to be throwing a lot in order to keep up with Brady
Holmes – Miami is terrible. Holmes should have a big game.

What do you think? Answer below!…

Week 6:

There’s a lot of teams to decide from for my survivor pool this week. I can choose from the Pittsburgh Steelers over the Tennessee Titans, but I was also looking to save them for next week against the Jacksonville Jaguars. I’m also thinking of taking the New York Jets over the struggling Miami Dolphins. I could also go unconventional and save the Steelers and Jets picks later this week by gunning for the Oakland Raiders at home over the Cleveland Browns. What do you think?

Answer:

I say you go Jets this week and Steelers next week. After looking at the Jets schedule, this could be the best time to take them and it’s a safe pick over the Dolphins who are having a lousy season. You can then save your Steelers pick for next week. Taking a gamble on the Raiders is tempting, but they’re too inconsistent to have me take them this early in the season. Good luck to you.

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